5 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Slovácko vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result

Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherske Hradiste
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Slovácko 0-0 Pardubice.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Slovácko, 31% draw, 34% Pardubice — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slovácko at 35% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slovácko4%Draw93%Pardubice3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Martin Svidersky
6'
Gigli Ndefe
29'
45'
🔁Daniel Smekalout: Kahuan Vinicius
61'
🔁Abdoull Tankoout: Victor Samuel
🔁Filip Horskyout: Lukas Vorlicky
61'
71'
🔁Michal Hlavatýout: Ioannis Foivos Botos
🔁Pavel Juroskaout: Patrik Blahut
75'
🔁Marek Havlíkout: David Puskac
75'
82'
🔁Tobias Boledovicout: Ryan Mahuta
90+1'
Kahuan Vinicius
🔁Martin Sviderskyout: Artur Dolžnikov
90+2'

Match stats — Slovácko vs Pardubice

59%Possession41%
14Shots9
2On target4
5Corners3

Line-ups

Slovácko 3-4-2-1
  • 29M. HecaG
  • 21S. SloncikD
  • 22J. BehiratcheD
  • 4A. Stojcevski
  • 2G. NdefeM
  • 16G. SossehM
  • 10M. TravnikM
  • 6M. SviderskyM
  • 20M. HavlikF
  • 77P. JuroskaF
  • 11F. HorskyF
Substitutes
  • 34P. HalouskaG
  • 19T. KralD
  • 27A. DolznikovM
  • 14A. AlabiD
  • 15P. BlahutM
  • 72L. VorlickyM
  • 30D. PuskacF
  • 9A. MarinelliF
Coach: Jan Jelinek
Pardubice 3-4-1-2
  • 46V. NeumanG
  • 33D. HalinskyD
  • 43J. NoslinD
  • 21M. Traore
  • 15E. GodwinM
  • 8S. SimekM
  • 16T. JelinekM
  • 40T. BoledovicM
  • 19M. HlavatyF
  • 9D. SmekalF
  • 20A. TankoF
Substitutes
  • 1J. SerakG
  • 25R. MahutaD
  • 12J. TredlD
  • 90G. BotosM
  • 6M. IchaD
  • 7D. SimonM
  • 77R. SaarmaM
  • 11J. ZimaM
  • 17V. DrchalF
Coach: Jan Trousil

Form going into Slovácko vs Pardubice

Slovácko

  • D1-1away to Plzen30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Mlada Boleslav22 August 2026
  • L1-2Sigma Olomouc15 August 2026

Pardubice

  • L1-2Artis29 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Sigma Olomouc23 August 2026
  • D1-1Mlada Boleslav15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Slovácko8035514-93
13Pardubice8125713-65

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slovácko vs Pardubice

  • 5 September 2026Slovácko 0–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 21 February 2026Slovácko 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 20 September 2025Pardubice 1–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 26 April 2025Slovácko 1–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 7 December 2024Slovácko 1–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
  • 11 August 2024Pardubice 0–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.