23 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Nancy vs Laval Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Referee: Remi Landry
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Nancy 1-0 Laval.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Nancy, 26% draw, 25% Laval — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nancy at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nancy97%Draw3%Laval0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
Esteban Mouton
26'
Teddy Bouriaud
26'
William Bianda
28'
Trevis Dago
53'
David Vignes
🔁Nordine Kandilout: Zakaria Fdaouch
55'
63'
🔁Ethan Clavreulout: Aboubakary Kante
64'
🔁Trevis Dagoout: Oumar Konaté
⚽Zakaria Fdaouchassist: Ilyes Housni
68'
🔁Jeremy Gelinout: Kouroufia Kebe
74'
🔁Pape Meissa Baout: Chafik El Hansar
74'
79'
Chafik Gourichy
79'
🔁Esteban Moutonout: Amine Moussaoui
79'
🔁Teddy Bouriaudout: Alessio Beaudouin
87'
🔁Layousse Sambout: Jules Gaudin
Chafik El Hansar
90'

Match stats — Nancy vs Laval

51%Possession49%
12Shots6
2On target3
4Corners5
0.88xG1.26

Goals against chances

Nancy1 from 0.88 xGabout what the chances were worth
Laval0 from 1.26 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Nancy 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 25J. GélinM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 9I. HousniM
  • 70N. KandilM
  • 12El HadariM
  • 5P. Meïssa BaF
Substitutes
  • 11I. CisseF
  • 45C. El HansarM
  • 7Z. FdaouchF
  • 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
  • 6K. KebeF
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 22L. NdenbeD
  • 29N. ObougoujacquetF
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
Coach: O. Tanchot
Laval 4-3-1-2
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 23E. MoutonD
  • 24S. BaneD
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 35Layousse SambD
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 8T. BouriaudM
  • 7Chafik GourichyM
  • 31M. HoudayerM
  • 11T. DagoF
  • 20E. ClavreulF
Substitutes
  • 34A. MoussaouiF
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 18A. LôD
  • 9O. KonateF
  • 28A. KantéF
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 40L. DroyauxG
  • 21Alessio BeaudouinD
  • 29M. SidibeM
Coach: David Vignes

Form going into Nancy vs Laval

Nancy

Ligue 2

  • W2-1away to Annecy16 October 2026
  • W1-0Guingamp9 October 2026

Laval

Ligue 2

  • D3-3Clermont Foot16 October 2026
  • L2-3away to PAU9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Nancy12813179+825
18Laval122371423-99

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nancy vs Laval

  • 27 February 2026Laval 1–1 NancyLigue 2
  • 7 November 2025Nancy 0–2 LavalLigue 2
  • 8 January 2016Nancy 1–0 LavalLigue 2
  • 7 August 2015Laval 0–1 NancyLigue 2
  • 6 March 2015Nancy 1–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 26 September 2014Laval 1–1 NancyLigue 2

Leading scorers: Nancy and Laval

Nancy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Laval

GoalsAssists

  • M. Houdayer40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nancy beat Laval 1–0. The model had made a win for Nancy its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Zakaria Fdaouch 68' for Nancy. On expected goals it finished 0.88–1.26.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Nancy a 4.7% chance to finish in the top two: 5.6% after a win, 3.9% after a draw, 2.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 5.6%, 0.9 points higher than before the match.

For Laval the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 59.7% going in: 51.0% after a win, 59.6% after a draw, 63.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 63.6%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Nancy v Laval has moved

First published on 9 Oct at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Nancy's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Nancy win49%▲ +2
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Laval win25%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.