23 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sochaux vs Annecy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Auguste Bonal
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane, France
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Sochaux 1-3 Annecy.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Sochaux, 32% draw, 35% Annecy — fair odds of 3.03, 3.13 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Annecy at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sochaux0%Draw1%Annecy99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽Moïse Sahiassist: Alexis Casadei
🔁Kapitbafan Djocoout: Mathis Clairicia
23'
🔁Arthur Vitelliout: Élie N'Gatta
45+1'
47'
⚽Moïse Sahiassist: Antoine Larose
🔁Louicius Deedsonout: Boubacar Fofana
57'
🔁Yohan Demoncyout: Honoré Bayanginisa
57'
🔁Saad Agouzoulout: Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema
57'
⚽Honoré Bayanginisa
65'
Boubacar Fofana
66'
68'
⚽Thibault Rambaudassist: Clement Billemaz
69'
🔁Clement Billemazout: Kilyan Veniere
70'
🔁Antoine Laroseout: Pascal Mozie
Élie N'Gatta
76'
77'
🔁Moïse Sahiout: Zepiqueno Redmond
77'
🔁Thibault Rambaudout: Souleymane Fofana
84'
🔁Alexis Casadeiout: Paul Venot
🔁Mathis Clairiciaout: Landry Nomel
85'
90+4'
🔁Gabin Secrétantout: Esteban Marre

Match stats — Sochaux vs Annecy

58%Possession42%
18Shots14
7On target7
12Corners6
1.15xG2.47

Goals against chances

Sochaux1 from 1.15 xGabout what the chances were worth
Annecy3 from 2.47 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 4A. VitelliD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 97S. AgouzoulD
  • 42Dylan TavaresD
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 23J. MassonM
  • 11L. DeedsonM
  • 24Y. DemoncyM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 9K. DjocoF
Substitutes
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
  • 5S. BaghdadiF
  • 8Honoré BayanginisaM
  • 10B. FofanaF
  • 3D. GomisD
  • 44N. K. MouyemaF
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 77L. NomelF
  • 30A. PierreG
Coach: Vincent Hognon
Annecy 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 33Gabin SecrétantD
  • 26A. Do MarcolinoD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 14M. KonéM
  • 8A. CasadeiM
  • 28A. LaroseM
  • 80M. SahiM
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 9T. RambaudF
Substitutes
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 11Souleymane FofanaM
  • 21E. MarreD
  • 15P. MozieM
  • 32D. OduroD
  • 17Z. RedmondF
  • 19K. VeniereM
  • 25P. VenotM
Coach: L. Guyot

Form going into Sochaux vs Annecy

Sochaux

Ligue 2

  • L2-3away to Metz17 October 2026
  • D1-1Boulogne9 October 2026

Annecy

Ligue 2

  • L1-2Nancy16 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Dunkerque9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Sochaux12255815-711
9Annecy125161418-416

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sochaux vs Annecy

  • 10 August 2024Sochaux 0–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 February 2023Sochaux 5–1 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 5 November 2022Annecy 2–1 SochauxLigue 2

Leading scorers: Sochaux and Annecy

Sochaux

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Annecy

GoalsAssists

  • M. Sahi50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Annecy won 3–1 at Sochaux. The model had made a win for Annecy its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Moïse Sahi 14' for Annecy, Moïse Sahi 47' for Annecy, Honoré Bayanginisa 65' for Sochaux, Thibault Rambaud 68' for Annecy. On expected goals it finished 1.15–2.47.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sochaux a 14.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.7% after a win, 14.6% after a draw, 17.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 17.7%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.