Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Juve Stabia 0-1 Hellas Verona.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Juve Stabia, 27% draw, 30% Hellas Verona — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Juve Stabia at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. VukovićG
- 4M. BaldiD
- 6M. BellichD
- 25T. DouglasD
- 96T. MaggioniM
- 30Romeo SandrucciM
- 10C. PierobonM
- 80F. ArtioliM
- 5T. BattistellaM
- 33G. SibilliM
- 9Antonio Di NardoF
- 11K. PiscopoF
- 18D. PerinM
- 77S. FernandesF
- 24J. KumiM
- 2M. RicciardiD
- 87D. BettellaD
- 23P. BoerG
- 8D. BuglioM
- 27L. CandelloneF
- 34S. PerilliG
- 4G. ZappaD
- 28T. SlotsagerD
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 79K. SezonienkoM
- 44E. IannoniM
- 24A. BernedeM
- 14D. LivramentoM
- 3M. FreseM
- 19S. MulattieriF
- 81C. EkubanF
- 38R. AkaleM
- 37N. CalabreseD
- 70F. ChamD
- 27P. DawidowiczD
- 21A. HarrouiM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 17A. Le BorgneM
- 1N. LealiG
- 25D. MosqueraF
Form going into Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
Juve Stabia
Serie B
- W1-0away to Cremonese24 October 2026
- W3-0Sudtirol18 October 2026
Hellas Verona
Serie B
- D1-1Pisa25 October 2026
- D2-2Catanzaro16 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
- 5 August 2018Hellas Verona 4–1 Juve StabiaCoppa Italia
Leading scorers: Juve Stabia and Hellas Verona
Juve Stabia
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Di Nardo70
Hellas Verona
GoalsAssists
- D. Mosquera70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hellas Verona won 1–0 at Juve Stabia. The model had leaned towards a win for Juve Stabia at 43% and given a win for Hellas Verona 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Abdou Harroui 87' for Hellas Verona. On expected goals it finished 0.85–1.35.
How the call on Juve Stabia v Hellas Verona has moved
First published on 14 Oct at 32% / 31% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 43% / 27% / 30%: the biggest move is Juve Stabia's chance of winning, up 11 points.
- Juve Stabia win43%▲ +11
- Draw27%▼ −4
- Hellas Verona win30%▼ −7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.