6 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Vejle vs FC Fredericia 1. Division prediction & result

Vejle Stadion, Vejle
Referee: J. Tornberg Rasmussen
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Vejle 1-0 FC Fredericia.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Vejle, 29% draw, 34% FC Fredericia — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vejle at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vejle96%Draw4%FC Fredericia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

39'
D. Haarbo
57'
🔁D. Haarboout: C. Jorgensen
M. Duelund
62'
72'
🔁A. Bondergaardout: N. Thomsen
72'
🔁F. Wintherout: A. Pyndt
73'
E. Simonsen
🔁L. Fromout: M. Jensen
74'
🔁M. Vestergaardout: T. Gundelund
74'
⚽T. Gundelund
80'
84'
🔁J. Lindekildeout: F. Bunten
84'
🔁E. Simonsenout: B. Bang-Kittilsen
🔁G. Marcussenout: V. Lund
88'
🔁M. Duelundout: A. Camara
88'

Line-ups

Vejle
  • 1N. Larsen
  • 23J. Karlsson
  • 4L. Nielsen
  • 15G. Vatnhamar
  • 3C. Sorensen
  • 11L. From
  • 6M. Vestergaard
  • 34L. Hetemi
  • 18G. Marcussen
  • 16T. Bach
  • 10M. Duelund
Substitutes
  • 31K. Kristensen
  • 2T. Gundelund
  • 5V. Lund
  • 8M. Jensen
  • 25M. Jensen
  • 19W. Faghir
  • 32B. Edjeodji
  • 20A. Camara
  • 30N. Gammelgaard
Coach: Claus Norgaard
FC Fredericia
  • 90V. Birkso
  • 12S. Crone
  • 3A. Nygaard
  • 5F. Rieper
  • 16L. Dauerhoj
  • 23J. Lindekilde
  • 20D. Haarbo
  • 6F. Winther
  • 10E. Simonsen
  • 13W. Madsen
  • 19A. Bondergaard
Substitutes
  • 44C. Risom
  • 14A. Dahl
  • 15M. Ladefoged
  • 22F. Bunten
  • 18A. Pyndt
  • 24C. Jorgensen
  • 8B. Bang-Kittilsen
  • 11E. Hansborg
  • 17N. Thomsen
Coach: Michael Hansen

Form going into Vejle vs FC Fredericia

Vejle

1. Division

  • D1-1away to Vendsyssel FF1 November 2026
  • D0-0Aarhus Fremad24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Aalborg17 October 2026
  • L1-2Hvidovre9 October 2026

FC Fredericia

1. Division

  • W3-1AB Copenhagen31 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Esbjerg24 October 2026
  • W3-0Hobro17 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Hillerød10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Vejle failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Vejle scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Vejle had two goals or fewer.
  • FC Fredericia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Fredericia won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for FC Fredericia had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Vejle147612616+1027
3FC Fredericia146532110+1123

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vejle vs FC Fredericia

  • 20 September 2026FC Fredericia 2–2 Vejle1. Division
  • 10 May 2026Vejle 2–0 FC FredericiaSuperliga
  • 13 April 2026FC Fredericia 2–2 VejleSuperliga
  • 9 February 2026Vejle 2–3 FC FredericiaSuperliga
  • 15 September 2025FC Fredericia 1–1 VejleSuperliga
  • 6 July 2024Vejle 3–0 FC FredericiaFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Vejle beat FC Fredericia 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Vejle at 37%. The goal: T. Gundelund 80' for Vejle.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Vejle a 20.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 30.5% after a win, 18.9% after a draw, 9.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 30.5%, 10.1 points higher than before the match.

For FC Fredericia the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 22.5% going in: 34.4% after a win, 18.9% after a draw, 12.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.8%, 9.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.