25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Neman vs Dinamo Brest Premier League prediction & result

Stadion Neman, Grodno
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Neman 1-4 Dinamo Brest.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Neman, 29% draw, 29% Dinamo Brest — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Neman at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Neman0%Draw1%Dinamo Brest99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
⚽Egor Kortsovassist: Vladislav Lyakh
34'
⚽Dusan Bakic (pen)
🔁Andrey Yakimovout: Anton Suchkov
45'
60'
⚽Vladislav Lyakh
🔁Pavel Savitskiyout: Andrija Ratkovic
61'
⚽Sergei Pushnyakovassist: Andrija Ratkovic
69'
🔁Dmitri Girsout: vladimir tonkevich
74'
75'
🔁Dusan Bakicout: Zarko Popovic
75'
🔁Denis Grechikhoout: D. Kovalevich
80'
🔁Egor Kortsovout: Lozhkin Vladzislau
🔁Oleg Evdokimovout: Maxim Kravtsov
80'
85'
⚽Aleksey Butarevichassist: Vladislav Lyakh
89'
🔁Aleksey Butarevichout: Nikita Burak
89'
🔁Guilherme Guedesout: Denis Levitskiy

Match stats — Neman vs Dinamo Brest

61%Possession39%
14Shots8
5On target5
5Corners5

Line-ups

Neman 4-5-1
  • 16N. MatysyukG
  • 55D. GirsD
  • 20I. SadovnichiyD
  • 4A. VasiljevD
  • 14S. JimohD
  • 15O. EvdokimovM
  • 24A. YakimovM
  • 9S. PushnyakovM
  • 10D. LisakovichM
  • 33D. SpătaruM
  • 88P. SavitskiyF
Substitutes
  • 6A. NazarenkoM
  • 1A. MalievskiyG
  • 32Y. PavlyukovetsM
  • 7A. RatkovićF
  • 17A. SuchkovM
  • 2V. TonkevichD
  • 18M. KravtsovF
  • 22I. KirkoD
  • 19A. DaynekoM
Coach: I. Kovalevich
Dinamo Brest 3-5-2
  • 35I. MalashchitskiyG
  • 3K. GlushchenkovD
  • 18N. StepanovD
  • 36Guilherme GuedesD
  • 77R. YuzepchukM
  • 99I. ZenkovM
  • 19D. GrechikhoM
  • 44A. ButarevichM
  • 23V. LyakhM
  • 7D. BakićF
  • 24E. KortsovF
Substitutes
  • 42N. BurakM
  • 6E. KhralenkovD
  • 88D. KovalevichF
  • 5M. KovelD
  • 11D. LevitskiyD
  • 25V. LozhkinF
  • 21A. NechaevG
  • 4Ž. PopovićM
Coach: A. Sednev

Form going into Neman vs Dinamo Brest

Neman

Premier League

  • L0-1away to ML Vitebsk18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Bate Borisov14 October 2026

Dinamo Brest

Premier League

  • D2-2FC Gomel17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Neman2815493526+949
4Dinamo Brest2815675029+2151

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Neman vs Dinamo Brest

  • 2 October 2026Neman 1–2 Dinamo BrestFriendlies Clubs
  • 13 June 2026Dinamo Brest 1–3 NemanPremier League
  • 24 January 2026Neman 4–0 Dinamo BrestFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 September 2025Dinamo Brest 2–0 NemanPremier League
  • 26 April 2025Neman 0–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
  • 26 October 2024Dinamo Brest 2–2 NemanPremier League

The result against the call

Dinamo Brest won 4–1 at Neman. The model had leaned towards a win for Neman at 42% and given a win for Dinamo Brest 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Egor Kortsov 28' for Dinamo Brest, Dusan Bakic (penalty) 34' for Dinamo Brest, Vladislav Lyakh 60' for Dinamo Brest, Sergei Pushnyakov 69' for Neman, Aleksey Butarevich 85' for Dinamo Brest.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Neman a 33.2% chance to finish in the top four: 53.0% after a win, 25.4% after a draw, 5.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 5.7%, 27.5 points lower than before the match.

For Dinamo Brest the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 62.8% going in: 92.4% after a win, 69.2% after a draw, 42.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 92.4%, 29.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Neman v Dinamo Brest has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is Neman's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Neman win42%▲ +5
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Dinamo Brest win29%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.