19 October 2026, 22:00 UTC

Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee: H. Mastrangelo
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Newell's Old Boys 2-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Newell's Old Boys, 32% draw, 24% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 2.27, 3.13 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Newell's Old Boys at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Newell's Old Boys98%Draw2%Central Cordoba de Santiago0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jerónimo Gómez Mattar
31'
35'
Matías Vera
45+2'
Fernando Martinez
Matías Cóccaro
48'
Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra
59'
61'
Darío Cáceres
⚽Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra
69'
🔁Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyraout: Alan Soñora
71'
74'
🔁Diego Barreraout: Horacio Tijanovich
74'
🔁Michael Santosout: Lucas Varaldo
Martin Ortega
76'
78'
Yuri Casermeiro
80'
⚽Leonardo Sequeiraassist: Horacio Tijanovich
🔁Matías Cóccaroout: Juan Ignacio Ramírez
87'
🔁Jerónimo Gómez Mattarout: Lucas Nicolás Gómez
88'
90+1'
Marco Iacobellis
🔁Facundo Samuel Guchout: Jeronimo Russo
90+2'

Match stats — Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

61%Possession39%
19Shots7
7On target2
6Corners3
1.96xG0.42

Goals against chances

Newell's Old Boys2 from 1.96 xGabout what the chances were worth
Central Cordoba de Santiago1 from 0.42 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Newell's Old Boys 4-3-3
  • 30J. ReinattiG
  • 6M. OrtegaD
  • 25B. CabreraD
  • 16L. CarrizoD
  • 24F. EscobarD
  • 26R. HerreraM
  • 19J. MattarM
  • 20Facundo GauchM
  • 7W. MazzanttiF
  • 9M. CóccaroF
  • 32S. SolariF
Substitutes
  • 27L. GómezM
  • 4A. MonteroM
  • 33W. NúñezF
  • 99I. RamírezF
  • 23N. GoiteaD
  • 28J. RussoF
  • 39T. RiosF
  • 22O. SalomónD
  • 36Francisco ScarpeccioF
Coach: F. Kudelka
Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. AguerreG
  • 20F. MartínezD
  • 17Y. CasermeiroD
  • 2A. MacielD
  • 23D. CáceresD
  • 22M. VeraM
  • 28L. SequeiraM
  • 10M. IacobellisM
  • 18L. GonzálezM
  • 7D. BarreraM
  • 27M. SantosF
Substitutes
  • 55J. CardozoM
  • 32N. GarridoD
  • 13J. GómezD
  • 44Kevin Jacobo Adrián IbañezF
  • 3L. MarchiD
  • 41Enzo Tiziano Ramirez SuarezD
  • 43Ignacio Nahuel SantillanF
  • 11H. TijanovichF
  • 25J. VallejosG
Coach: S. Domínguez

Form going into Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Newell's Old Boys

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza12 October 2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D2-2Estudiantes La Plata10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Newell's Old Boys165831613+323
15Central Cordoba de Santiago162591226-1411

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

  • 5 April 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–3 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 August 2025Newell's Old Boys 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 February 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 20 November 2024Newell's Old Boys 2–3 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 21 August 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Newell's Old BoysCopa Argentina
  • 26 January 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Newell's Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago record →

Leading scorers: Newell's Old Boys and Central Cordoba de Santiago

Newell's Old Boys

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Central Cordoba de Santiago

GoalsAssists

  • M. Santos92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Newell's Old Boys beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1. The model had made a win for Newell's Old Boys its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jerónimo Gómez Mattar 31' for Newell's Old Boys, Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra 69' for Newell's Old Boys, Leonardo Sequeira 80' for Central Cordoba de Santiago. On expected goals it finished 1.96–0.42.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Newell's Old Boys these chances to finish in the top eight: 83.4% after a win, 59.5% after a draw, 44.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 83.4%.

For Central Cordoba de Santiago the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 69.1% going in: 43.5% after a win, 69.3% after a draw, 81.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 81.2%, 12.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.