19 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh Premier League prediction & result

Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
Referee: Dmytro Kubryak
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Kharkiv 2-1 Livyi Bereh.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% FC Kharkiv, 27% draw, 16% Livyi Bereh — fair odds of 1.75, 3.70 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Kharkiv at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Kharkiv98%Draw2%Livyi Bereh0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽V. Voloshyn
12'
O. Kryvoruchko
⚽B. Zabergjaassist: I. Kalyuzhnyi
36'
43'
Wendell
46'
🔁I. Kvasnytsyaout: S. Tatolna
🔁C. Paracoout: O. Yatsyk
54'
58'
O. Sokolov
62'
A. Chelyadin
⚽R. Gadzhyevassist: I. Krupskyi
63'
V. Salyuk
68'
🔁P. Itodoout: E. Rashica
70'
72'
🔁A. Chelyadinout: P. Fall
🔁B. Zabergjaout: O. Martynyuk
81'
🔁R. Gadzhyevout: I. Kogut
81'
I. Kalyuzhnyi
82'
88'
🔁V. Voloshynout: N. Bonsu
88'
🔁Wendellout: D. Shastal
88'
🔁O. Kryvoruchkoout: E. Banada

Line-ups

FC Kharkiv
  • 1Georgiy YermakovG
  • 27Illia KrupskyiD
  • 13Volodymyr SalyukD
  • 31Artem ShabanovD
  • 29Artem SmoliakovD
  • 14Ramik GadzhyevM
  • 5Ivan KalyuzhnyiM
  • 18Evgen PavlyukD
  • 7Baton ZabergjaM
  • 98Peter ItodoF
  • 10Carlos ParacoF
Substitutes
  • 8Oleksandr YatsykM
  • 19Ermir RashicaM
  • 24Oleksandr MartinyukD
  • 25Igor KogutM
  • 23Yaroslav ProtsenkoG
  • 30Danylo VarakutaG
  • 37Valery DubkoD
  • 64Dmytro PushkalovD
  • 11Sebastian CastilloM
Coach: Mladen Bartulovic
Livyi Bereh
  • 12Roman ZhmurkoG
  • 2Oleg SokolovD
  • 97Andriy YakimivD
  • 4Valeriy BondarenkoD
  • 6Sidnney Silva SantosD
  • 38Artem ChelyadinM
  • 8Oleh KryvoruchkoM
  • 17Nazariy VorobchakM
  • 15Vikentiy VoloshynM
  • 11Ilya KvasnytsyaM
  • 9Wendell Florencio BritoF
Substitutes
  • 14Severin TatolnaD
  • 20Pape Malick FallF
  • 44Yevhen BanadaM
  • 90Nicholas Osei BonsuM
  • 7Dmytro ShastalM
  • 74Denys IhnatenkoG
  • 3Ivan KotukhaD
  • 27Ernest AstakhovD
  • 13Ilya KovalenkoD
Coach: Oleksandr Ryabokon

Form going into FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh

FC Kharkiv

Premier League

  • W2-1away to Chornomorets10 October 2026
  • W2-0Bukovyna19 September 2026
  • W5-0Obolon'-Brovar5 September 2026

Livyi Bereh

Premier League

  • L1-3Zorya Luhansk12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC Kharkiv9702187+1121
12Livyi Bereh11164712-59

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh

  • 2 August 2026Livyi Bereh 2–1 FC KharkivFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 June 2025FC Kharkiv 1–0 Livyi BerehPremier League
  • 29 May 2025Livyi Bereh 0–1 FC KharkivPremier League
  • 22 January 2025Livyi Bereh 3–0 FC KharkivFriendlies Clubs
  • 26 July 2024Livyi Bereh 1–1 FC KharkivPremier League

Leading scorers: FC Kharkiv and Livyi Bereh

FC Kharkiv

GoalsAssists

  • B. Zabërgja62
  • P. Itodo41
  • R. Gadzhiev31

Livyi Bereh

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Kharkiv beat Livyi Bereh 2–1. The model had made a win for FC Kharkiv its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: V. Voloshyn 3' for Livyi Bereh, B. Zabergja 36' for FC Kharkiv, R. Gadzhyev 63' for FC Kharkiv.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Kharkiv a 77.3% chance to finish in the top four: 80.7% after a win, 73.1% after a draw, 66.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.7%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.

For Livyi Bereh the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 14.0% going in: 6.8% after a win, 12.2% after a draw, 15.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.4%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Kharkiv v Livyi Bereh has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 47% / 32% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 57% / 27% / 16%: the biggest move is FC Kharkiv's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. FC Kharkiv win57%▲ +10
  2. Draw27%▼ −5
  3. Livyi Bereh win16%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.