29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

NK Varazdin vs Rudes HNL prediction & result

Gradski stadion Varazdin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: NK Varazdin 2-0 Rudes.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% NK Varazdin, 20% draw, 13% Rudes — fair odds of 1.49, 5.00 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

NK Varazdin at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

NK Varazdin99%Draw1%Rudes0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

36'
Xavier Fernandes
🔁G. Sikosekout: E. Durakovic
46'
58'
🔁C. Sahoout: T. Kolega
59'
🔁Xaviout: J. Blagaic
•Novak Tepšić
60'
🔁I. Tavaresout: M. Vuk
61'
63'
Ante Sušak
⚽Ivan Mamut (pen)
64'
⚽A. Latkovicassist: I. Mamut
72'
🔁F. Maglicaout: L. Posinkovic
74'
🔁M. Marinaout: T. Duvnjak
74'
78'
🔁I. Djoricout: L. Popovic
78'
🔁A. Susakout: J. Bralic
81'
🔁L. Ilecicout: K. Lovric
⚽I. Canjugaassist: M. Vuk
84'
87'
Kristijan Lovrić
🔁I. Mamutout: L. Skaricic
90+1'

Match stats — NK Varazdin vs Rudes

56%Possession44%
11Shots9
3On target3
9Corners4
1.93xG0.36

Goals against chances

NK Varazdin2 from 1.93 xGabout what the chances were worth
Rudes0 from 0.36 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
  • 33J. SilicG
  • 23F. MaglicaD
  • 13M. MladenovskiD
  • 16N. TepsicD
  • 20G. SikosekD
  • 28I. CanjugaM
  • 24M. MarinaM
  • 10A. LatkovicM
  • 22L. MamicM
  • 38I. TavaresM
  • 17I. MamutF
Substitutes
  • 1R. McCrorieG
  • 12P. BockajD
  • 4L. SkaricicD
  • 5S. LesjakD
  • 3E. DurakovicD
  • 30L. PosinkovicD
  • 6D. PuclinM
  • 21I. PosavecM
  • 8T. DuvnjakM
Coach: Nikola Safaric
Rudes 4-2-3-1
  • 95L. RogicG
  • 14B. UnusicD
  • 5M. StolnikD
  • 4V. CeljakD
  • 21A. SusakD
  • 28XaviM
  • 24I. DjoricM
  • 7L. IlecicM
  • 15N. SkokoM
  • 11J. PoldrugacM
  • 18C. SahoF
Substitutes
  • 1F. HoljevacG
  • 20J. BlagaicM
  • 8L. PopovicM
  • 10V. SeitzM
  • 34K. LovricF
  • 2T. KolegaF
  • 35J. BralicF
  • 17J. PejicF
Coach: Alen Peternac

Form going into NK Varazdin vs Rudes

NK Varazdin

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Dinamo Zagreb22 August 2026
  • W2-0HNK Rijeka16 August 2026
  • W4-1away to NK Slaven Belupo9 August 2026
  • W2-1HNK Hajduk Split2 August 2026
  • L0-2away to FK Jablonec30 July 2026

Rudes

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb21 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Dinamo Zagreb14 August 2026
  • L1-6NK Osijek8 August 2026
  • L1-2away to HNK Rijeka2 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5NK Varazdin135441714+319
8Rudes135171627-1116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: NK Varazdin vs Rudes

  • 22 April 2024Rudes 0–2 NK VarazdinHNL
  • 9 February 2024NK Varazdin 1–0 RudesHNL
  • 28 October 2023Rudes 0–0 NK VarazdinHNL
  • 12 August 2023NK Varazdin 2–0 RudesHNL
  • 12 July 2023Rudes 0–1 NK VarazdinFriendlies Clubs
  • 30 April 2022Rudes 3–0 NK VarazdinFirst NL

Leading scorers: NK Varazdin and Rudes

NK Varazdin

GoalsAssists

  • L. Mamić60
  • I. Canjuga33

Rudes

No player in HNL's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

NK Varazdin beat Rudes 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for NK Varazdin at 67%. The goals: A. Latkovic 72' for NK Varazdin, I. Canjuga 84' for NK Varazdin. On expected goals it finished 1.93–0.36.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.