Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Nottingham Forest, 28% draw, 22% Coventry — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Nottingham Forest at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nottingham Forest vs Coventry
Line-ups
- 26M. SelsG
- 23JairD
- 2O. DiomandeD
- 5MurilloD
- 27D. MuñozM
- 21X. SchlagerM
- 24J. McAteeM
- 3N. WilliamsM
- 14D. NdoyeM
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 19L. DelapF
- 11Igor JesusF
- 9C. WoodF
- 22R. YatesM
- 8N. DomínguezM
- 7C. Hudson-OdoiF
- 6I. SangaréM
- 34O. AinaD
- 25L. NetzD
- 12JohnG
- 19C. RushworthG
- 12S. MfuniD
- 4B. ThomasD
- 2E. PinnockD
- 8Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM
- 16F. OnyekaM
- 6M. GrimesM
- 3J. DasilvaM
- 5J. RudoniM
- 10E. Mason-ClarkM
- 23B. Thomas-AsanteF
- 49S. CherifF
- 34Y. GbohoF
- 9E. SimmsF
- 38G. HamerM
- 29V. TorpM
- 17L. TchaounaF
- 7T. SakamotoM
- 22J. LatibeaudiereD
- 25D. BentleyG
Form going into Nottingham Forest vs Coventry
Nottingham Forest
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Aston Villa12 September 2026
- D0-0Tottenham5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Liverpool29 August 2026
- L0-1Leeds22 August 2026
Coventry
All competitions we cover
- L0-5Brighton13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Manchester City5 September 2026
- L0-1Hull City29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Arsenal21 August 2026
What these results say
- Nottingham Forest failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Nottingham Forest conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Coventry did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Coventry failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
- Coventry conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry
- 8 July 2022Nottingham Forest 1–3 CoventryFriendlies Clubs
- 6 April 2022Nottingham Forest 2–0 CoventryChampionship
- 8 August 2021Coventry 2–1 Nottingham ForestChampionship
- 2 February 2021Coventry 1–2 Nottingham ForestChampionship
- 4 November 2020Nottingham Forest 2–1 CoventryChampionship
The result against the call
Coventry won 1–0 at Nottingham Forest. The model had leaned towards a win for Nottingham Forest at 50% and given a win for Coventry 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Jay Dasilva 55' for Coventry.
How the call on Nottingham Forest v Coventry has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 28% / 22%: the biggest move is Nottingham Forest's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Nottingham Forest win50%▲ +7
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Coventry win22%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.