Everton vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Everton 1-0 Ipswich.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Everton, 30% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Everton at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Everton vs Ipswich
Line-ups
- 1J. PickfordG
- 2A. Maitland-NilesD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 45H. ArmstrongM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 10J. GrealishM
- 11T. BarryF
- 58B. GrahamF
- 19Tyrique GeorgeF
- 30H. HackneyM
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 20T. DiblingF
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 5M. KeaneD
- 31T. KingG
- 12M. TraversG
- 28C. WaltonG
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 6I. DiopD
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 3L. DavisD
- 23S. LukićM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 7A. FatawuM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 47J. ClarkeM
- 19EmersonnF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 29C. AkpomF
- 38D. MaedaF
- 11J. PhilogeneF
- 32M. NúñezM
- 12FlorentinoM
- 2D. FurlongD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 37K. ScherpenG
Form going into Everton vs Ipswich
Everton
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Tottenham12 September 2026
- D2-2Manchester United6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bournemouth29 August 2026
- W2-0Crystal Palace22 August 2026
Ipswich
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Crystal Palace12 September 2026
- L0-2Liverpool4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
- W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026
What these results say
- Everton went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Everton failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Everton scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Ipswich conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ipswich scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Ipswich had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Everton vs Ipswich
- 3 May 2025Everton 2–2 IpswichPremier League
- 19 October 2024Ipswich 0–2 EvertonPremier League
Leading scorers: Everton and Ipswich
Everton
GoalsAssists
- T. Barry61
- K. Dewsbury-Hall31
Ipswich
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Everton beat Ipswich 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Everton at 40%. The goal: Thierno Barry 11' for Everton. Sent off: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku (Ipswich) 67'.
How the call on Everton v Ipswich has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Everton's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Everton win40%▼ −5
- Draw30%▲ +3
- Ipswich win30%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.