Nottingham Forest sit 11th in the Premier League on 5 points from 4 matches, having scored 4 and conceded 4 — level on goal difference. The model rates their attack at 1.02× the league average and their defence at 0.81× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 4 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat, most recently beating Aston Villa 2-1 away. That is 1.25 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00 per game across 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat. That leaves them 7 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 11th-best attack and the 6th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 4 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Coventry in the Premier League on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 50%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Nottingham Forest sit 11 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-1away to Aston Villa12 September 2026
- D0-0Tottenham5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Liverpool29 August 2026
- L0-1Leeds22 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry
Nottingham Forest host Coventry at City Ground, Nottingham on 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. The model makes it 50% Nottingham Forest, 28% draw and 22% Coventry, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.78 expected goals for Nottingham Forest against 0.83. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Full preview and model analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry
Recent meetings with Coventry
- 8 July 2022Nottingham Forest 1–3 CoventryFriendlies Clubs
- 6 April 2022Nottingham Forest 2–0 CoventryChampionship
- 8 August 2021Coventry 2–1 Nottingham ForestChampionship
- 2 February 2021Coventry 1–2 Nottingham ForestChampionship
- 4 November 2020Nottingham Forest 2–1 CoventryChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.