Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Gyori ETO FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Nyiregyhaza, 25% draw, 50% Gyori ETO FC — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Gyori ETO FC at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 57M. DalaG
- 24V. JovanovD
- 15A. TemesváriD
- 31L. KatonaD
- 70M. KatonaD
- 8Zsombor HosM
- 12M. KovácsM
- 6Y. TomaM
- 10B. MannerM
- 55B. KatonaF
- 9M. KvasinaF
- 99Á. AlaxaiD
- 7N. AntonovD
- 29J. BatoumF
- 66B. BenczenleitnerD
- 25S. IngolitschD
- 26Ž. MedvedF
- 23M. RegžaF
- 39R. ŽikovićD
- 77R. TarcsiF
- 99S. PetrášG
- 19J. BennetteD
- 53Balint SelyemD
- 37N. UrblíkD
- 26Ã. UmathumD
- 23D. ŠtefuljD
- 90K. BánátiM
- 7P. AgbaM
- 14M. SzépM
- 96M. HuszárM
- 34V. ĐukanovićF
- 16B. MegyeriG
- 77Élan RicardoM
- 88M. GigerF
- 80Ž. GavrićF
- 10C. BumbaM
- 9L. KulenovićF
- 21E. BödőM
- 20B. BíróD
- 75N. CsorbaD
Form going into Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
Nyiregyhaza
NB I
- L1-2away to Ujpest1 November 2026
- W2-1away to Puskas Academy25 October 2026
- L0-1Budapest Honved17 October 2026
- L1-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE11 October 2026
Gyori ETO FC
NB I
- D2-2Vasas31 October 2026
- W1-0Ujpest24 October 2026
- W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026
What these results say
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
| 3 | Gyori ETO FC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
- 2 August 2026Gyori ETO FC 4–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 5 April 2026Gyori ETO FC 1–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 13 December 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 31 August 2025Gyori ETO FC 1–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 8 March 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 2 November 2024Gyori ETO FC 1–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
Leading scorers: Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC
Nyiregyhaza
GoalsAssists
- M. Kvasina41
Gyori ETO FC
GoalsAssists
- V. Đukanović40
- L. Kulenović32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Gyori ETO FC at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Zsombor Hös 45+1' for Nyiregyhaza, viktor djukanovic 54' for Gyori ETO FC. Sent off: Željko Gavrić (Gyori ETO FC) 76'. On expected goals it finished 0.73–2.30.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Nyiregyhaza a 50.8% chance to finish in the bottom two: 42.3% after a win, 49.7% after a draw, 54.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 49.7%, 1.1 points lower than before the match.
For Gyori ETO FC the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 67.4% going in: 73.1% after a win, 62.4% after a draw, 59.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 62.4%, 5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Nyiregyhaza v Gyori ETO FC has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 22% / 25% / 53% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 25% / 25% / 50%: the biggest move is Nyiregyhaza's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Nyiregyhaza win25%▲ +3
- Draw25%=
- Gyori ETO FC win50%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.