8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC

OFI vs Atromitos Super League 1 prediction & result

Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Referee: Fotios Polychronis
Full time0 – 0

Final score: OFI 0-0 Atromitos.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% OFI, 27% draw, 29% Atromitos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

OFI at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OFI5%Draw92%Atromitos3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Taxiarchis Fountas
13'
Athanasios Androutsos
37'
🔁Krešimir Krizmanićout: Christos Sielis
45'
Andreas Bouchalakis
51'
54'
Serginho
•Kenan Kodro
61'
🔁Andreas Bouchalakisout: Zisis Karachalios
68'
🔁Lorenzo Dickmannout: Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
68'
69'
🔁Serginhoout: S. Pnevmonidis
70'
Juan José Perea
🔁Thiago Nussout: Aitor Cantalapiedra
71'
72'
🔁Kelvin Oforiout: Lefteris Lyratzis
80'
S. Pnevmonidis
84'
🔁Juan José Pereaout: Panagiotis Tsantilas
84'
🔁Samuel Moutoussamyout: Theocharis Tsingaras
84'
🔁Georgios Papadopoulosout: Jere Uronen
🔁Dimitris Nikolaouout: Borja González
87'

Match stats — OFI vs Atromitos

63%Possession37%
10Shots7
2On target0
9Corners5
1.51xG0.34

Goals against chances

OFI0 from 1.51 xGless than the chances were worth
Atromitos0 from 0.34 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

OFI 3-4-2-1
  • 1K. LiloG
  • 15A. PoungourasD
  • 43D. NikolaouD
  • 2K. KrizmanićD
  • 24L. DickmannM
  • 14T. AndroutsosM
  • 41A. BouchalakisM
  • 3N. AthanasiouM
  • 11T. FountasM
  • 18T. NussM
  • 19K. KodroF
Substitutes
  • 23Manuel KalafatisG
  • 8G. KanellópoulosM
  • 6Z. KarachaliosM
  • 13P. KatsikasG
  • 5K. KostoulasD
  • 9A. LeyaF
  • 30T. RomanoF
  • 16C. SielisD
  • 46G. TheodosoulakisF
Coach: C. Kontis
Atromitos 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. ChoutesiotisG
  • 12M. MountesD
  • 44D. TsakmakisD
  • 4D. StavrópoulosD
  • 16G. PapadopoulosD
  • 6T. KaramanisM
  • 8S. MoutoussamyM
  • 97K. OforiM
  • 7S. ZuberM
  • 70SerginhoM
  • 9J. PereaF
Substitutes
  • 19Panagiotis TsantilasF
  • 10S. PnevmonidisF
  • 11C. NúñezM
  • 32H. MagnússonD
  • 2L. LyratzisD
  • 14Dani GarcíaM
  • 88S. DiengG
  • 31V. AthanasiouG
  • 23S. TsiloulisM
Coach: D. Kerkez

Form going into OFI vs Atromitos

OFI

Super League 1

  • W1-0away to Panetolikos1 November 2026
  • W2-1PAOK25 October 2026
  • L3-4away to Kalamata18 October 2026
  • L0-3away to AEK Athens FC10 October 2026

Atromitos

Super League 1

  • W3-0Volos NFC2 November 2026
  • L1-3away to Aris Thessalonikis25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Asteras Tripolis10 October 2026
  • L1-2Kifisia19 September 2026

What these results say

  • OFI scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • OFI conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for OFI had three goals or more.
  • Atromitos scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Atromitos had three goals or more.
  • Atromitos failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6OFI105231412+217
12Atromitos9135912-36

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: OFI vs Atromitos

  • 31 January 2026Atromitos 1–2 OFISuper League 1
  • 25 October 2025OFI 1–3 AtromitosSuper League 1
  • 10 May 2025Atromitos 0–0 OFISuper League 1
  • 29 March 2025OFI 1–2 AtromitosSuper League 1
  • 14 December 2024Atromitos 0–0 OFISuper League 1
  • 24 August 2024OFI 1–1 AtromitosSuper League 1

Leading scorers: OFI and Atromitos

OFI

GoalsAssists

  • K. Kodro40

Atromitos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

OFI and Atromitos drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for OFI at 44% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.51–0.34.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave OFI a 12.5% chance to finish in the top four: 15.4% after a win, 10.0% after a draw, 7.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 10.0%, 2.5 points lower than before the match.

For Atromitos the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 28.1% going in: 18.4% after a win, 26.7% after a draw, 33.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 26.7%, 1.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on OFI v Atromitos has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 27% / 29%: the biggest move is OFI's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. OFI win44%▲ +2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Atromitos win29%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.