19 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos 1. Division prediction & result

GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Referee: Panagiotis Hadjigeorghiou
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos.

Before kick-off the model made it 72% Omonia Nicosia, 18% draw, 10% Olympiakos — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Omonia Nicosia at 72%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Omonia Nicosia0%Draw8%Olympiakos92%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Dominik Prokop
32'
⚽Zannetos Savva
35'
⚽Panagiotis Kynigopoulos
35'
Pedro Miguel Esteves Sancho
⚽Ewandro
45+1'
45+3'
•Zannetos Savva
45+6'
Henrique Gomes
🔁Stefan Simićout: Lubomír Šatka
46'
•Jaden Sean Montnor
49'
🔁Senou Coulibalyout: Loïc Nego
61'
🔁Luuk Brouwersout: Mateo Marić
61'
61'
🔁Bruno Pazout: Constantinos christou
65'
65'
🔁Zannetos Savvaout: marios pechlivanis
🔁Jaden Sean Montnorout: Mihlali Mayambela
67'
🔁Florin Tănaseout: Muamer Tanković
67'
88'
🔁Dominik Prokopout: Alexandros Lolis
88'
🔁Jean Felipeout: Agapios Vrikkis
90+4'
christoforos frantzis
⚽ (pen)
90+5'
⚽
90+12'

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia
  • 1T. KaminskiG
  • 27S. SimičD
  • 93J. DuverneD
  • 5S. CoulibalyD
  • 29J. BalkovecD
  • 17F. TănaseM
  • 11EwandroM
  • 20L. BrouwersM
  • 74P. AndreouM
  • 7J. MontnorF
  • 99L. DionyF
Substitutes
  • 40FabianoG
  • 82A. ChristouM
  • 9A. KakoullisF
  • 14M. MarićM
  • 21M. MayambelaF
  • 78Pantelis MichailG
  • 77L. NégoD
  • 85A. NeophytouF
  • 28M. OdubajoD
Coach: H. Berg
Olympiakos
  • 1C. TalichmanidisG
  • 24M. TamásD
  • 8Bruno PazD
  • 5Eduardo KundeD
  • 12Jean FelipeD
  • 55Henrique GomesD
  • 2C. FrantzisD
  • 80Miguel Esteves Sancho PedroM
  • 10D. ProkopM
  • 9Zannetos SavvaF
  • 26P. KynigopoulosF
Substitutes
  • 4A. DoumasD
  • 14Konstantinos EliaF
  • 3Michalis FouliasD
  • 29K. IrakleousF
  • 31georgios kitsiosD
  • 32M. KyriakouG
  • 11A. LolisF
  • 23M. PechlivanisF
  • 22Marios Praxitelous Al HerekD
Coach: G. Kostis

Form going into Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos

Omonia Nicosia

1. Division

  • W3-0away to Karmiotissa9 October 2026

Olympiakos

1. Division

  • L1-2Aris11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Omonia Nicosia9531176+1118
9Olympiakos91621213-19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos

  • 15 March 2026Omonia Nicosia 5–0 Olympiakos1. Division
  • 6 December 2025Olympiakos 0–3 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 20 February 2023Olympiakos 0–1 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 11 November 2022Omonia Nicosia 4–0 Olympiakos1. Division
  • 20 May 2022Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Olympiakos1. Division
  • 8 April 2022Olympiakos 3–0 Omonia Nicosia1. Division

Leading scorers: Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos

Omonia Nicosia

GoalsAssists

  • L. Diony30
  • Ľ. Šatka21
  • L. Brouwers20

Olympiakos

GoalsAssists

  • Zannetos Savva22
  • Jean Felipe11

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Omonia Nicosia at 72% and given a draw 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Zannetos Savva 32' for Olympiakos, Panagiotis Kynigopoulos 35' for Olympiakos, Ewandro 45+1' for Omonia Nicosia, 90+12' for Omonia Nicosia.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Omonia Nicosia a 69.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 71.5% after a win, 62.7% after a draw, 57.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 62.7%, 6.8 points lower than before the match.

For Olympiakos the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 18.9% going in: 27.4% after a win, 20.4% after a draw, 17.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 20.4%, 1.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Omonia Nicosia v Olympiakos has moved

First published on 5 Oct at 62% / 23% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 72% / 18% / 10%: the biggest move is Omonia Nicosia's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. Omonia Nicosia win72%▲ +10
  2. Draw18%▼ −5
  3. Olympiakos win10%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.