21 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Standard Liege 2-0 RAAL La Louvière.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Standard Liege, 21% draw, 22% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 1.75, 4.76 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Standard Liege at 57% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Standard Liege99%Draw1%RAAL La Louvière0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

34'
Yllan Okou
Alexis Trouillet
46'
🔁H. Lawrenceout: M. Fossey
62'
🔁D. Eckertout: S. Drammeh
62'
⚽S. Drammehassist: B. Nguene
68'
69'
🔁A. Tajaouartout: J. Ito
71'
Mame Wade
72'
🔁T. Lutondaout: M. Kovacs
72'
🔁E. Filetout: Z. Gruber
72'
🔁M. Wadeout: L. Rousseau
⚽S. Drammeh
73'
🔁A. Trouilletout: R. Fosso
79'
🔁B. Ngueneout: B. Nsimba
79'
85'
🔁D. Lamegoout: M. Courcoul
🔁R. Touzgharout: T. Mohr
88'
90+1'
Yllan Okou
90+1'
Yllan Okou

Match stats — Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

64%Possession36%
11Shots13
4On target5
5Corners1
1.15xG1.07

Goals against chances

Standard Liege2 from 1.15 xGmore than the chances were worth
RAAL La Louvière0 from 1.07 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-3-3
  • 1M. EpoloG
  • 18H. LawrenceD
  • 20I. KaramokoD
  • 25I. HautekietD
  • 3G. MortensenD
  • 94C. NielsenM
  • 22A. TrouilletM
  • 84R. TouzgharM
  • 17B. NgueneF
  • 10D. EckertF
  • 11A. AbidF
Substitutes
  • 21L. PirardG
  • 13M. FosseyD
  • 29D. DierckxD
  • 80R. FossoM
  • 7T. MohrM
  • 19S. JasperM
  • 59T. NkadaF
  • 77B. NsimbaF
  • 15S. DrammehM
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2
  • 21M. PeanoG
  • 18S. DelosD
  • 4W. FayeD
  • 99Y. OkouD
  • 25D. LamegoD
  • 5T. LutondaD
  • 10M. WadeM
  • 48I. CoulibalyM
  • 78A. TajaouartM
  • 11M. IsahF
  • 9E. FiletF
Substitutes
  • 91T. RadeletG
  • 22S. GourvilleD
  • 29M. CourcoulM
  • 44M. BoukamirD
  • 23J. ItoM
  • 28B. SoumareM
  • 7M. Kovacs
  • 30Z. GruberF
  • 90L. Rousseau
Coach: Edward Still

Form going into Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

Standard Liege

  • D3-3away to KV Mechelen16 August 2026

RAAL La Louvière

  • L1-2Gent16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Standard Liege63211210+211
14RAAL La Louvière6114712-54

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs RAAL La Louvière

  • 21 August 2026Standard Liege 2–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 27 February 2026Standard Liege 1–1 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 26 July 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and RAAL La Louvière

Standard Liege

  • D. Eckert Ayensa4 goals
  • A. Abid3 goals2 assists

RAAL La Louvière

  • M. Ubandoma5 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.