29 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor Süper Lig prediction & result

Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Konyaspor 1-2 Kocaelispor.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Konyaspor, 28% draw, 27% Kocaelispor — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Konyaspor at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Mahamadou Susoho
36'
Dan Agyei
37'
Matej Maglica
⚽T. Zoukrou (OG)
39'
🔁U. Yazgiliout: A. Masuaku
41'
🔁E. Colleyout: E. Bardhi
46'
46'
🔁M. Susohoout: U. Yildiz
Enis Bardhi
48'
60'
🔁T. Zoukrouout: F. Aye
66'
🔁M. Bakuout: M. Altunbas
72'
⚽M. Haidaraassist: G. Sousa
🔁D. Turucout: R. Baniya
73'
🔁M. Jevtovicout: R. Toth
77'
🔁D. Goncalvesout: E. Destan
77'
86'
⚽M. Altunbasassist: Show
Rajmund Tóth
88'
90'
🔁D. Agyeiout: M. Cinan
90'
🔁G. Sousaout: O. Oztonga

Match stats — Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor

44%Possession56%
10Shots15
0On target7
1Corners4
0.85xG0.76

Goals against chances

Konyaspor1 from 0.85 xGabout what the chances were worth
Kocaelispor2 from 0.76 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Konyaspor 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. ErtasG
  • 5U. YazgiliD
  • 15C. AwaziemD
  • 4A. DemirbagD
  • 17Y. AndzouanaD
  • 77M. IbrahimogluM
  • 8M. JevtovicM
  • 9D. TurucM
  • 7D. GoncalvesM
  • 19E. ColleyM
  • 11J. MulekaF
Substitutes
  • 13B. GungorduG
  • 26A. MasuakuD
  • 22R. BaniyaD
  • 3A. BoslukD
  • 41Da MataD
  • 66R. TothM
  • 10E. BardhiM
  • 25O. CobanogluM
  • 94E. DestanF
Coach: Ilhan Palut
Kocaelispor 4-1-4-1
  • 83S. OztasdelenG
  • 2A. DijksteelD
  • 4T. ZoukrouD
  • 6M. MaglicaD
  • 21M. HaidaraD
  • 14ShowM
  • 11G. Sousa
  • 10B. KutluM
  • 20M. SusohoM
  • 32M. BakuM
  • 7D. AgyeiF
Substitutes
  • 23O. PiriG
  • 3M. CinanD
  • 5E. OrtakayaD
  • 41O. OztongaD
  • 27E. BilimM
  • 22U. YildizD
  • 26M. AltunbasF
  • 19H. KaratasM
  • 97F. AyeF
Coach: Selcuk Inan

Form going into Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Konyaspor

  • L2-4away to Fenerbahçe22 August 2026
  • L0-1Rizespor15 August 2026

Kocaelispor

  • W2-0Amed24 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Başakşehir16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Konyaspor510448-43
6Kocaelispor530254+19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor

  • 29 August 2026Konyaspor 1–2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • 14 March 2026Kocaelispor 1–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • 18 October 2025Konyaspor 2–3 KocaelisporSüper Lig
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.