8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

PAU vs Annecy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Nouste Camp, Pau
Full time0 – 1

Final score: PAU 0-1 Annecy.

Before kick-off the model made it 20% PAU, 20% draw, 60% Annecy — fair odds of 5.00, 5.00 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Annecy at 60% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

PAU0%Draw5%Annecy95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽A. Drouhinassist: C. Billemaz
16'
Clement Billemaz
Gaëtan Paquiez
37'
🔁K. Gasnierout: G. Versini
46'
🔁M. Tourraineout: J. Kalulu
46'
🔁L. Rajotout: C. Fall
46'
Giovani Versini
52'
59'
🔁K. Youngout: Z. Redmond
🔁A. Lefebvreout: B. Leye
66'
67'
🔁A. Laroseout: K. Jusseron-Veniere
67'
🔁M. Koneout: M. Veillon
67'
🔁T. Rambaudout: M. S. Dion
🔁A. Dodoteout: T. Saettel
80'
Tom Saettel
82'

Match stats — PAU vs Annecy

71%Possession29%
16Shots9
2On target3
6Corners4

Line-ups

PAU 5-3-2
  • 1B. MaubleuG
  • 39M. TourraineD
  • 4A. DodoteD
  • 88A. BambaD
  • 29G. PaquiezD
  • 2T. PouillyD
  • 5L. RajotM
  • 21J. BenetM
  • 90K. GasnierM
  • 11A. LefebvreF
  • 7H. BenaliF
Substitutes
  • 16M. AdamG
  • 23A. BrianconD
  • 9B. LeyeF
  • 19T. SaettelF
  • 10G. VersiniF
  • 3J. KaluluD
  • 8S. BasseD
  • 6C. FallM
  • 22R. Mimb BahengD
Coach: Thierry Debes
Annecy 4-3-3
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 6F. LajugieD
  • 18A. DrouhinD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 14M. Kone
  • 25P. VenotM
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 28A. LaroseF
  • 9T. RambaudF
  • 12K. YoungF
Substitutes
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 17Z. RedmondF
  • 15P. MozieM
  • 19K. Jusseron-VeniereM
  • 23M. VeillonD
  • 80M. S. DionF
  • 4S. LimaD
Coach: Laurent Guyot

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15PAU612346-25
5Annecy631287+110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: PAU vs Annecy

  • 24 April 2026Annecy 5–1 PAULigue 2
  • 9 August 2025PAU 2–0 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 28 March 2025PAU 1–0 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 1 November 2024Annecy 2–0 PAULigue 2
  • 27 January 2024Annecy 0–0 PAULigue 2
  • 23 September 2023PAU 0–3 AnnecyLigue 2

Leading scorers: PAU and Annecy

PAU

  • B. Leye3 goals

Annecy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.