8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Rodez vs Laval Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Rodez 3-1 Laval.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Rodez, 25% draw, 18% Laval — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rodez at 57% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rodez98%Draw2%Laval0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
Mamadou Sidibé
19'
Sidi Bane
24'
🔁M. Houdayerout: E. Mouton
⚽C. Issanchou Roubiou
52'
Evan’s Jean-Lambert
61'
65'
🔁T. Bouriaudout: F. Coquelin
65'
🔁T. Dagoout: N. Mupemba
66'
🔁M. Selloukiout: E. Clavreul
68'
⚽E. Clavreulassist: E. Mouton
🔁M. Touhoout: K. Nagera
69'
🔁C. Issanchou Roubiouout: S. Luyambula
69'
🔁A. Cartillierout: O. Joly
69'
76'
🔁W. Biandaout: L. Samb
🔁S. Benchammaout: D. Pavlovic
78'
🔁E. Jean-Lambertout: C. Jolibois
78'
⚽I. Baldeassist: J. Mendes
89'
⚽O. Jolyassist: K. Nagera
90'

Match stats — Rodez vs Laval

44%Possession56%
20Shots6
9On target1
8Corners4

Line-ups

Rodez 5-3-2
  • 1Q. BraatG
  • 13C. Issanchou RoubiouD
  • 24L. Laurent
  • 4M. MagninD
  • 3R. LipinskiD
  • 15E. Jean-LambertD
  • 26S. BenchammaM
  • 6J. MendesM
  • 29A. Cartillier
  • 18I. BaldeF
  • 11M. TouhoF
Substitutes
  • 16L. MargueronG
  • 7K. NageraF
  • 28S. LuyambulaD
  • 8D. PavlovicM
  • 10M. BaaloudjF
  • 22O. JolyM
  • 33D. MavouniaD
  • 5C. JoliboisD
Coach: Didier Santini
Laval 4-3-3
  • 30M. SamassaG
  • 29M. SidibeD
  • 24S. BaneD
  • 3W. BiandaD
  • 22J. GaudinD
  • 14C. MandoukiM
  • 8T. BouriaudM
  • 6S. SannaM
  • 10M. SelloukiF
  • 11T. Dago
  • 31M. HoudayerF
Substitutes
  • 1M. HautboisG
  • 13F. CoquelinM
  • 5J. MaggiottiM
  • 19N. MupembaF
  • 23E. MoutonD
  • 20E. ClavreulM
  • 35L. SambD
  • 32Y. CourtM
  • 33S. MellierM
Coach: David Vignes

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Rodez62131112-17
18Laval6114713-64

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rodez vs Laval

  • 24 April 2026Laval 0–0 RodezLigue 2
  • 22 August 2025Rodez 1–1 LavalLigue 2
  • 18 April 2025Laval 2–1 RodezLigue 2
  • 24 September 2024Rodez 1–3 LavalLigue 2
  • 27 January 2024Rodez 1–2 LavalLigue 2
  • 19 August 2023Laval 1–0 RodezLigue 2

Leading scorers: Rodez and Laval

Rodez

  • I. Baldé5 goals
  • C. Roubiou2 goals
  • O. Joly2 goals

Laval

  • E. Clavreul2 goals3 assists
  • M. Houdayer2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.