8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Sochaux vs Saint Etienne Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Auguste Bonal
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Sochaux 0-3 Saint Etienne.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Sochaux, 21% draw, 18% Saint Etienne — fair odds of 1.64, 4.76 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sochaux at 61% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sochaux0%Draw1%Saint Etienne99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽J. Breumassist: A. Boakye
24'
⚽I. Cardonaassist: J. Breum
28'
⚽I. Cardonaassist: T. Ballo
46'
🔁A. Boakyeout: J. Duffus
56'
🔁I. Cardonaout: L. Stassin
🔁K. Djocoout: M. Clairicia
62'
🔁L. Nomelout: B. Fofana
62'
🔁M. Peybernesout: A. Vitelli
62'
66'
Jakob Breum
69'
🔁T. Balloout: Z. Davitashvili
🔁S. Baghdadiout: J. Mexique
74'
78'
🔁M. Bernauerout: A. Baallal
🔁D. Gomisout: D. Tavares
80'

Match stats — Sochaux vs Saint Etienne

53%Possession47%
11Shots11
1On target5
6Corners1

Line-ups

Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 17B. YoussoufD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 3D. Gomis
  • 19V. LobryM
  • 23J. MassonM
  • 77L. NomelM
  • 5S. BaghdadiM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 9K. DjocoF
Substitutes
  • 30A. PierreG
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
  • 47J. VetroF
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 10B. FofanaF
  • 97S. AgouzoulD
  • 42D. TavaresD
  • 4A. VitelliD
  • 25P. DiopM
Coach: Vincent Hognon
Saint Etienne 4-4-2
  • 30G. LarsonneurG
  • 13J. FerreiraD
  • 26J. Le CardinalD
  • 18S. NairD
  • 23K. PedroD
  • 20A. BoakyeM
  • 6M. BernauerM
  • 14A. CsongvaiM
  • 10J. BreumM
  • 8T. BalloF
  • 7I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NdiayeG
  • 17J. DuffusF
  • 9L. StassinF
  • 27L. GadegbekuM
  • 22Z. DavitashviliF
  • 2S. StojkovicD
  • 32A. BaallalM
  • 37N. Kasia NkondoD
Coach: Ian Cathro

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Sochaux623134-19
1Saint Etienne6501176+1115

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sochaux vs Saint Etienne

  • 28 January 2023Saint Etienne 2–3 SochauxLigue 2
  • 10 October 2022Sochaux 2–1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 11 February 2021Sochaux 1–0 Saint EtienneCoupe de France
  • 23 March 2014Saint Etienne 3–1 SochauxLigue 1
  • 2 November 2013Sochaux 0–0 Saint EtienneLigue 1
  • 2 February 2013Sochaux 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1

Leading scorers: Sochaux and Saint Etienne

Sochaux

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Saint Etienne

  • I. Cardona4 goals4 assists
  • T. Ballo4 goals2 assists
  • A. Boakye3 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.