17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Stockport County vs Bromley League One prediction & result

Edgeley Park, Stockport
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Stockport County 1-0 Bromley.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Stockport County, 18% draw, 14% Bromley — fair odds of 1.47, 5.56 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stockport County at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stockport County97%Draw3%Bromley0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Kyle Woottonassist: Jack Diamond
19'
Oliver Norwood
27'
50'
Kamil Amadu Conteh
🔁Ben Osbornout: Josh Cogley
66'
🔁Jason Adigunout: Harry Wood
67'
67'
🔁Jodi Jonesout: corey whitely
68'
🔁John Joshua Mckiernanout: Mikel Miller
🔁Ryan Gloverout: Ethan Ennis
73'
🔁Lewis Bateout: Lewis Fiorini
73'
76'
🔁Kamil Amadu Contehout: William Hondermarck
76'
🔁Victor Adeboyejoout: Michael Cheek
76'
Grant Smith
🔁Jack Diamondout: Mikael Mandron
82'

Match stats — Stockport County vs Bromley

76%Possession24%
18Shots4
6On target0
7Corners3
1.57xG0.34

Goals against chances

Stockport County1 from 1.57 xGless than the chances were worth
Bromley0 from 0.34 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Stockport County 3-4-3
  • 1Oliver WhatmuffG
  • 25M. JobeD
  • 6E. O'ConnellD
  • 5E. PyeD
  • 15R. GloverM
  • 4L. BateM
  • 10O. NorwoodM
  • 23B. OsbornM
  • 7J. DiamondF
  • 19K. WoottonF
  • 20J. AdigunF
Substitutes
  • 9B. AndréssonF
  • 2J. Dacres-CogleyD
  • 30Ethan EnnisF
  • 18L. FioriniM
  • 22M. MandronF
  • 29Adama SidibehF
  • 16H. WoodM
Coach: J. McNulty
Bromley 4-1-4-1
  • 1G. SmithG
  • 12Marcus Lemar IfillD
  • 5O. SowunmiD
  • 45A. JacksonD
  • 17J. MendyD
  • 6G. SavilleM
  • 10J. JonesM
  • 22K. ContehM
  • 28J. McKiernanM
  • 11M. PinnockM
  • 20V. AdeboyejoF
Substitutes
  • 9M. CheekF
  • 21Kamari Antonio GrantD
  • 16W. HondermarckM
  • 14N. KabambaF
  • 31O. MasonG
  • 19M. MillerF
  • 18C. WhitelyM
Coach: A. Woodman

Form going into Stockport County vs Bromley

Stockport County

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Barnsley10 October 2026
  • W1-0Peterborough26 September 2026

Bromley

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Mansfield Town10 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Milton Keynes Dons26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Stockport County159242915+1429
24Bromley132381333-209

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stockport County vs Bromley

  • 15 February 2022Bromley 1–3 Stockport CountyNational League
  • 13 November 2021Stockport County 1–1 BromleyNational League
  • 5 April 2021Stockport County 0–0 BromleyNational League
  • 5 December 2020Bromley 0–2 Stockport CountyNational League
  • 15 February 2020Stockport County 1–0 BromleyNational League

Leading scorers: Stockport County and Bromley

Stockport County

GoalsAssists

  • K. Wootton102
  • J. Diamond63

Bromley

No player in League One's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stockport County beat Bromley 1–0. The model had made a win for Stockport County its most likely outcome, at 68%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Kyle Wootton 19' for Stockport County. On expected goals it finished 1.57–0.34.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Stockport County a 49.0% chance to finish in the top four: 51.0% after a win, 45.4% after a draw, 39.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.0%, 2 points higher than before the match.

For Bromley the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 58.7% going in: 49.8% after a win, 55.0% after a draw, 60.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.5%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Stockport County v Bromley has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 60% / 22% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 68% / 18% / 14%: the biggest move is Stockport County's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Stockport County win68%▲ +8
  2. Draw18%▼ −4
  3. Bromley win14%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.