5 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

Preston vs Blackburn Championship prediction & result

Deepdale, Preston
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Preston 2-1 Blackburn.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Preston, 29% draw, 30% Blackburn — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Preston at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Callum Langassist: Delano Burgzorg
9'
25'
Yuri Ribeiro
⚽Callum Langassist: Jordan Thompson
27'
40'
Sam Morsy
Delano Burgzorg
42'
51'
⚽Stanley Mills (OG)
Stanley Mills
52'
🔁Caleb Wileyout: Andrija Vukčević
59'
🔁Callum Langout: Johnny Kenny
59'
🔁Delano Burgzorgout: Jusef Erabi
59'
64'
🔁Oladapo Afolayanout: J. Fevrier
64'
🔁Adam Forshawout: Hayden Carter
Harry Clarke
65'
🔁Stanley Millsout: Odeluga Offiah
69'
74'
🔁Sam Morsyout: Harvey Higgins
🔁Alfie Devineout: Liam Gibbs
74'
Jordan Thompson
88'

Match stats — Preston vs Blackburn

33%Possession67%
8Shots12
3On target5
3Corners11

Line-ups

Preston 4-4-2
  • 1D. IversenG
  • 4H. ClarkeD
  • 14J. StoreyD
  • 19L. GibsonD
  • 12C. WileyD
  • 17S. MillsM
  • 27L. LeroyM
  • 15J. ThompsonM
  • 7A. DevineM
  • 10C. LangF
  • 37D. BurgzorgF
Substitutes
  • 11T. SmallD
  • 3A. VukčevićD
  • 9J. ErabiF
  • 20L. GibbsM
  • 38Johnny KennyF
  • 6L. LindsayD
  • 23A. MoranM
  • 21L. NichollsG
  • 24O. OffiahD
Coach: P. Heckingbottom
Blackburn 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. PearsG
  • 2R. AlebiosuD
  • 31Kristi MontgomeryD
  • 15S. McLoughlinD
  • 4Yuri RibeiroD
  • 28A. ForshawM
  • 8Sam MorsyM
  • 25R. MorishitaM
  • 10T. CantwellM
  • 21O. AfolayanM
  • 9A. GuðjohnsenF
Substitutes
  • 17H. CarterD
  • 53F. VareM
  • 46Michael DecandiaD
  • 11J. FevrierF
  • 30J. GarrettM
  • 37Felix GoddardG
  • 45Harvey HigginsM
  • 47L. HoughtonD
  • 39H. PatesD
Coach: Tony Mowbray

Form going into Preston vs Blackburn

Preston

  • L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026

Blackburn

  • D0-0away to Lincoln1 September 2026
  • L1-2QPR29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
23Preston7106613-73
16Blackburn7223101008

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preston vs Blackburn

  • 5 September 2026Preston 2–1 BlackburnChampionship
  • 20 February 2026Blackburn 1–0 PrestonChampionship
  • 21 November 2025Preston 1–2 BlackburnChampionship
  • 31 January 2025Blackburn 2–1 PrestonChampionship
  • 22 September 2024Preston 0–0 BlackburnChampionship
  • 17 February 2024Preston 2–2 BlackburnChampionship

Leading scorers: Preston and Blackburn

Preston

  • C. Lang3 goals

Blackburn

  • A. Guðjohnsen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.