QPR vs Middlesbrough Championship prediction & result
Final score: QPR 0-1 Middlesbrough.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% QPR, 29% draw, 31% Middlesbrough — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
QPR at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — QPR vs Middlesbrough
Line-ups
- 1P. CharlesG
- 27A. MbengueD
- 3J. DunneD
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 19D. CirkinD
- 17K. PokuM
- 20H. ValeM
- 5R. EdwardsM
- 11P. SmythM
- 22R. KoneF
- 10I. ChairF
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 16R. BurrellF
- 18G. KamaraM
- 48T. LampteyD
- 15A. LloydF
- 24N. MadsenM
- 14K. SaitoF
- 40J. VaraneM
- 13C. WardG
- 1R. VítekG
- 4A. PhillipsD
- 29A. MalandaD
- 30Neto BorgesD
- 2C. BrittainM
- 6S. BerhalterM
- 10A. MorrisM
- 17M. ArfstenM
- 22K. JosephM
- 8R. McGreeM
- 7W. LankshearF
- 19Leo CastledineM
- 9T. ConwayF
- 11A. Cozier-DuberryM
- 5A. JonesD
- 14M. Peart-HarrisM
- 21R. PukštasM
- 13D. StrelecF
- 31S. BrynnG
- 12L. AylingD
Form going into QPR vs Middlesbrough
QPR
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Cardiff2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026
- D0-0Bolton22 August 2026
- W3-1away to Portsmouth15 August 2026
Middlesbrough
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Burnley2 September 2026
- W3-1West Brom29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Blackburn22 August 2026
- W2-1Lincoln15 August 2026
What these results say
- QPR went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- QPR won 3 of these 4 matches.
- QPR scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Middlesbrough scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Middlesbrough conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Middlesbrough.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: QPR vs Middlesbrough
- 8 March 2026QPR 0–4 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- 13 December 2025Middlesbrough 3–1 QPRChampionship
- 11 March 2025Middlesbrough 2–1 QPRChampionship
- 5 November 2024QPR 1–4 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- 9 March 2024QPR 0–2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
Leading scorers: QPR and Middlesbrough
QPR
GoalsAssists
- R. Kone51
Middlesbrough
GoalsAssists
- W. Lankshear130
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Middlesbrough won 1–0 at QPR. The model had leaned towards a win for QPR at 40% and given a win for Middlesbrough 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: will lankshear 20' for Middlesbrough.