Stoke City vs Charlton Championship prediction & result
Final score: Stoke City 4-0 Charlton.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Stoke City, 29% draw, 31% Charlton — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Stoke City at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Stoke City vs Charlton
Line-ups
- 1V. JohanssonG
- 16B. WilmotD
- 18B. LawalD
- 5L. GrahamD
- 2B. JohnsonM
- 13J. DevennyM
- 27El Hadji Djibril SoumaréM
- 8E. GalbraithM
- 17E. BocatM
- 20S. GallagherF
- 15G. HirstF
- 21L. BombinoD
- 10Bae Jun-HoM
- 9R. BoženíkF
- 11L. CisséF
- 24J. GriffithsG
- 7J. McGlynnM
- 4B. PearsonM
- 19T. RigoM
- 40M. TalovierovD
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 18I. MesíkD
- 5L. JonesD
- 44Tyler BindonD
- 17A. BellD
- 16T. OumaM
- 34O. SkippM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 19M. AlliF
- 30R. ApterM
- 21T. BrooksG
- 14S. CareyM
- 6C. CoventryM
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 33Micah MbickF
- 20D. McNamaraD
- 32A. MwambaD
Form going into Stoke City vs Charlton
Stoke City
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Norwich1 September 2026
- L1-4away to Wolves29 August 2026
- L1-3away to Southampton22 August 2026
- L1-2Swansea15 August 2026
Charlton
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to West Brom2 September 2026
- W1-0Preston29 August 2026
- W2-1away to West Ham22 August 2026
- W2-1Derby15 August 2026
What these results say
- Stoke City scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Stoke City failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Stoke City conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Charlton went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Charlton scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Charlton won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Stoke City vs Charlton
- 11 February 2026Charlton 1–0 Stoke CityChampionship
- 25 November 2025Stoke City 3–0 CharltonChampionship
- 8 February 2020Stoke City 3–1 CharltonChampionship
- 10 August 2019Charlton 3–1 Stoke CityChampionship
Leading scorers: Stoke City and Charlton
Stoke City
GoalsAssists
- J. McGlynn52
Charlton
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Stoke City beat Charlton 4–0. The model had made a win for Stoke City its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Justin Devenny (penalty) 15' for Stoke City, Ethan Galbraith 22' for Stoke City, George Hirst 25' for Stoke City, Justin Devenny 40' for Stoke City.