Portsmouth vs Cardiff Championship prediction & result
Final score: Portsmouth 2-0 Cardiff.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Portsmouth, 28% draw, 31% Cardiff — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Portsmouth at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Portsmouth vs Cardiff
Line-ups
- 31D. BielicaG
- 24T. DevlinD
- 2Benjamin ArthurD
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 16J. MeghomaD
- 7M. PackM
- 19R. SheinM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 17T. ShadeM
- 29M. MilovanovićF
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 38E. AdamsM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 9C. BishopF
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenF
- 32E. KennyM
- 37I. MohamedM
- 5R. PooleD
- 1N. SchmidG
- 1N. TrottG
- 38P. NgD
- 5K. BielikD
- 4G. OshoD
- 3J. BaganD
- 18A. RobertsonM
- 14D. TurnbullM
- 11O. TannerM
- 16C. WillockM
- 8J. MoylanM
- 9Y. SalechF
- 33R. TankiewiczM
- 41M. TurnerG
- 30H. TyrerG
- 45Cian AshfordF
- 27J. ColwillM
- 10R. ColwillM
- 44R. KpakioD
- 47C. RobinsonF
- 23C. ScanlonD
Form going into Portsmouth vs Cardiff
Portsmouth
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Derby1 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bristol City29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lincoln22 August 2026
- L1-3QPR15 August 2026
Cardiff
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to QPR2 September 2026
- D2-2Sheffield Utd29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Derby22 August 2026
- D1-1Wrexham17 August 2026
What these results say
- Portsmouth conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Portsmouth failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Portsmouth scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cardiff did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Cardiff scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cardiff conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Portsmouth vs Cardiff
- 11 February 2025Portsmouth 2–1 CardiffChampionship
- 22 October 2024Cardiff 2–0 PortsmouthChampionship
- 9 August 2022Cardiff 0–3 PortsmouthLeague Cup
- 8 August 2017Cardiff 2–1 PortsmouthLeague Cup
- 21 January 2012Cardiff 3–2 PortsmouthChampionship
Leading scorers: Portsmouth and Cardiff
Portsmouth
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Cardiff
GoalsAssists
- J. Moylan103
- Y. Salech51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Portsmouth beat Cardiff 2–0. The model had made a win for Portsmouth its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Conor Shaughnessy 31' for Portsmouth, Marko Milovanović 52' for Portsmouth.