Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Preußen Münster 3-3 Rot-Weiß Essen.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Preußen Münster, 28% draw, 32% Rot-Weiß Essen — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Preußen Münster at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
Line-ups
- 1M. BehrensG
- 16T. PaetowD
- 5L. ZellerD
- 4A. TikvićD
- 43R. RöschM
- 26P. MaierM
- 44Samuel Moïse AlthausM
- 36N. VarelmannM
- 14C. MakridisM
- 28Montell NdikomM
- 33F. HiglF
- 6Wesley AdehM
- 19M. DemirhanM
- 38M. HarsmanG
- 2L. KolbeD
- 27J. KorteM
- 8J. MeesF
- 21R. PreißingerM
- 30M. SchulzM
- 17M. StuhlmacherM
- 1J. GolzG
- 37J. HofmannD
- 15Ben Vincent HüningD
- 23J. Ríos AlonsoD
- 19F. BouebariD
- 22J. SietanM
- 26E. ÇelebiM
- 10M. ObuzM
- 17S. TelalovićM
- 14L. BrummeM
- 20M. JanssenF
- 18D. AbiamaF
- 32L. BazzoliD
- 7Aiman DardariF
- 36J. GnagnonD
- 2M. KostkaD
- 11Noah PeschM
- 16R. ReisigM
- 35F. WienandG
- 9J. PotoÄnikF
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Preußen Münster | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
- 28 January 2024Preussen Munster 2–1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
- 27 August 2023Rot-Weiß Essen 1–0 Preussen Munster3. Liga
- 20 February 2022Rot-Weiß Essen 1–1 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
- 14 September 2021Preussen Munster 2–3 Rot-Weiß EssenRegionalliga - West
- 13 March 2021Preussen Munster 1–0 Rot-Weiß EssenRegionalliga - West
- 17 October 2020Rot-Weiß Essen 1–0 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
Leading scorers: Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen
Preußen Münster
GoalsAssists
- F. Higl41
- Montell Ndikom40
Rot-Weiß Essen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Preußen Münster at 40% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Montell Ndikom 16' for Preußen Münster, Jose-Enrique Rios Alonso (own goal) 38' for Preußen Münster, Marek Janssen 60' for Rot-Weiß Essen, Jose-Enrique Rios Alonso 79' for Rot-Weiß Essen, Semir telalovic (penalty) 82' for Rot-Weiß Essen, Joshua Mees 87' for Preußen Münster.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Preußen Münster a 29.3% chance to finish in the top four: 33.5% after a win, 26.0% after a draw, 24.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 26.0%, 3.3 points lower than before the match.
For Rot-Weiß Essen the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 47.1% going in: 54.6% after a win, 47.4% after a draw, 41.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 47.4%.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Preußen Münster v Rot-Weiß Essen has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 40% / 28% / 32%: the biggest move is Preußen Münster's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Preußen Münster win40%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Rot-Weiß Essen win32%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.