5 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Swansea vs Wrexham Championship prediction & result

Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Swansea 0-0 Wrexham.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Swansea, 29% draw, 30% Wrexham — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Swansea at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Swansea5%Draw92%Wrexham3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Filip Lissahout: Ben Cabango
53'
🔁Eom Ji-Sungout: Joseph Amankwaah Opoku
53'
62'
🔁Oliver Rathboneout: Josh Windass
62'
🔁Ryan·Longmanout: Jacques Ekomié
62'
🔁Danny Imrayout: Issa Kabore
63'
🔁Sam Smithout: Kieffer Moore
🔁Adam Idahout: Zan Vipotnik
63'
Joseph Amankwaah Opoku
67'
🔁melker widellout: Elijah Just
75'
🔁Jay Fultonout: Marko Stamenić
75'
Ben Cabango
77'
78'
🔁Callum O'Hareout: Lewis O'Brien
Stephen Welsh
88'

Match stats — Swansea vs Wrexham

61%Possession39%
6Shots8
3On target1
5Corners2

Line-ups

Swansea 4-3-3
  • 22L. VigourouxG
  • 2J. KeyD
  • 26F. LissahD
  • 23S. WelshD
  • 14J. TymonD
  • 7M. WidellM
  • 4J. FultonM
  • 46S. EustáquioM
  • 49M. YeoF
  • 33A. IdahF
  • 10Eom Ji-SungF
Substitutes
  • 9Z. VipotnikF
  • 1A. FisherG
  • 5B. CabangoD
  • 30Joseph OkopuF
  • 20Tiago ParenteD
  • 8E. JustF
  • 35RonaldF
  • 3J. SeeltD
  • 6M. StamenićM
Coach: Vítor Matos
Wrexham 3-4-2-1
  • 22A. PattersonG
  • 4M. CleworthD
  • 5D. HyamD
  • 2C. DoyleD
  • 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayM
  • 37M. JamesM
  • 8B. WhitemanM
  • 47R. LongmanM
  • 20O. RathboneM
  • 17C. O'HareM
  • 28S. SmithF
Substitutes
  • 3J. EkomiéD
  • 12I. KaboréD
  • 19K. MooreF
  • 27L. O'BrienM
  • 26Z. VynerD
  • 21D. WardG
  • 10J. WindassM
  • 11B. CadamarteriF
  • 6J. WorrallD
Coach: P. Parkinson

Form going into Swansea vs Wrexham

Swansea

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Watford1 September 2026
  • W3-0away to Derby29 August 2026
  • D0-0Sheffield Utd22 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Stoke City15 August 2026

Wrexham

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Millwall2 September 2026
  • L1-2Birmingham28 August 2026
  • D1-1Watford22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Cardiff17 August 2026

What these results say

  • Swansea went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Swansea won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Swansea scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Wrexham scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Wrexham failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Wrexham conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Swansea158252218+426
15Wrexham154651820-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Swansea vs Wrexham

  • 13 March 2026Wrexham 2–0 SwanseaChampionship
  • 19 December 2025Swansea 2–1 WrexhamChampionship

Leading scorers: Swansea and Wrexham

Swansea

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.

Wrexham

GoalsAssists

  • K. Moore52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Swansea and Wrexham drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Swansea at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.