24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Easi Arena
Referee: Massimiliano Ledda, Belgium
Full time3 – 0

Final score: RAAL La Louvière 3-0 Zulte Waregem.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% RAAL La Louvière, 27% draw, 43% Zulte Waregem — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Zulte Waregem at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

RAAL La Louvière99%Draw1%Zulte Waregem0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mame Wade
5'
⚽Nolan Gillotassist: Zsombor Gruber
37'
•Mustapha Isah
44'
Mustapha Isah
46'
Siad Gourville
59'
62'
🔁Ousseynou Niangout: Tobias Hedl
62'
🔁Serxho Ujkaout: Thomas Claes
🔁Zsombor Gruberout: Léandro Rousseau
66'
72'
🔁István Átrokout: Nikola Mituljikić
⚽Nolan Gillotassist: Marius Courcoul
73'
🔁Ismaila Coulibalyout: Anas Tajaouart
77'
🔁Mustapha Isahout: Elias Filet
77'
🔁Mame Wadeout: Mehdi Boukamir
77'
83'
Anosike Ementa
83'
🔁Benoit De Jaegereout: Akpa Chukwu Hemsley
⚽Léandro Rousseau
84'
Marius Courcoul
90+1'

Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

45%Possession55%
15Shots15
8On target6
5Corners3
1.56xG0.82

Goals against chances

RAAL La Louvière3 from 1.56 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zulte Waregem0 from 0.82 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière
  • 21Marcos Hernán PeanoG
  • 3Nolan GillotD
  • 4Wagane FayeD
  • 22Siad GourvilleD
  • 25Djibril LamegoD
  • 5Thierry LutondaD
  • 29Marius CourcoulM
  • 10Mame WadeM
  • 48Ismaila CoulibalyM
  • 30Zsombor GruberF
  • 11Mustapha IsahF
Substitutes
  • 90Léandro RousseauF
  • 44Mehdi BoukamirD
  • 78Anas TajaouartM
  • 9Elias FiletF
  • 91Théo RadeletG
  • 33Patrick NkoaD
  • 99Yllan OkouD
  • 7Mátyás KovácsM
  • 43Quentin BenaetsF
Coach: Edward Still
Zulte Waregem
  • 13Brent GabrielG
  • 45Benoit De JaegereD
  • 4Laurent LemoineD
  • 5Jakob KiilerichD
  • 15Youssoupha MbodjiD
  • 36Serxho UjkaM
  • 6Enrique LofolomoM
  • 11Marley AkéM
  • 21István ÁtrokM
  • 22Ousseynou NiangM
  • 18Anosike EmentaF
Substitutes
  • 8Thomas ClaesM
  • 20Tobias HedlF
  • 7Nikola MituljikićF
  • 90Akpa Chukwu HemsleyF
  • 1Louis BostynG
  • 55Yannick CappelleD
  • 49Franz TangalaM
  • 25Tristan PanduroM
  • 53Kewan VembaF
Coach: Michael Beale

Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League

  • L1-4Club Brugge KV10 October 2026
  • L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026

Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-2Gent10 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17RAAL La Louvière112181324-117
14Zulte Waregem113261320-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem

  • 26 April 2026Zulte Waregem 4–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 19 April 2026RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 13 December 2025Zulte Waregem 2–2 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • 4 October 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • 2 February 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 Zulte WaregemChallenger Pro League
  • 10 November 2024Zulte Waregem 2–1 RAAL La LouvièreChallenger Pro League

Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem

RAAL La Louvière

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ubandoma60

Zulte Waregem

GoalsAssists

  • T. Hedl42
  • Á. Zalán40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

RAAL La Louvière beat Zulte Waregem 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Zulte Waregem at 43% and given a win for RAAL La Louvière 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nolan Gillot 37' for RAAL La Louvière, Nolan Gillot 73' for RAAL La Louvière, Léandro Rousseau 84' for RAAL La Louvière. On expected goals it finished 1.56–0.82.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave RAAL La Louvière a 42.4% chance to finish in the bottom two: 35.0% after a win, 42.3% after a draw, 47.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 35.0%, 7.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.