Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Bijeljina 1-1 FK Sarajevo.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Radnik Bijeljina, 28% draw, 43% FK Sarajevo — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FK Sarajevo at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Dušan MarkovićG
- 66Miladin StevanovićD
- 5Blondon Meyapya FongainD
- 26Đorđe ĆosićD
- 14Andrija MarkovićD
- 77Mohamed GhorziM
- 19Huso KarjaševićM
- 10Emanuel ČrnkoM
- 20Vladimir BradonjićM
- 29Danilo TeodorovićF
- 11Ognjen KlenpićM
- 70Ateef KonateM
- 22Mustafa ŠukilovićD
- 16Božidar DimitrićD
- 7Indy BoonenM
- 17Luka CvetićaninM
- 27Vedran KjoševskiG
- 3Slaviša RadovićD
- 18Igor SpaićM
- 23Mirko VukovićM
- 31Ivan BanićG
- 27Luka HujberD
- 18Matija GlogovacD
- 30Luka DajčerD
- 77Mihael KuprešakM
- 20Agon EleziM
- 35Sergej IgnatkovM
- 59Gojko CimirotM
- 9Leo MikićM
- 19Ricardo CaraballoF
- 7Ivan ŠarićM
- 8Antonio GalešićM
- 11Francis KyeremehM
- 5Rijad TelalovićM
- 99Bartol BarišićF
- 24Filip ŽivkovićM
- 13Sanin MusijaG
- 70Selmir PidroD
- 2Shane MaroodzaD
- 6Jovan IvaniševićD
Form going into Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
Premijer Liga
- W3-1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo11 October 2026
FK Sarajevo
Premijer Liga
- D0-0away to Čelik11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 11 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo
- 8 August 2026FK Sarajevo 0–0 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 18 April 2026Radnik Bijeljina 1–2 FK SarajevoPremijer Liga
- 6 February 2026FK Sarajevo 2–0 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 18 October 2025Radnik Bijeljina 2–2 FK SarajevoPremijer Liga
- 3 August 2025FK Sarajevo 4–4 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
GoalsAssists
- D. Teodorović21
- V. Bradonjić20
- M. Ghorzi11
FK Sarajevo
GoalsAssists
- R. Caraballo20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Sarajevo at 43% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Ghorzi 58' for Radnik Bijeljina, B. Barisic 88' for FK Sarajevo.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radnik Bijeljina a 58.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 51.8% after a win, 56.6% after a draw, 63.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 56.6%, 1.5 points lower than before the match.
For FK Sarajevo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 82.2% going in: 85.3% after a win, 82.3% after a draw, 78.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 82.3%.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.