16 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg Premijer Liga prediction & result

Stadion Luke
Referee: M. Gigovic
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Sloga Doboj 0-1 Siroki Brijeg.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Sloga Doboj, 29% draw, 38% Siroki Brijeg — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Siroki Brijeg at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sloga Doboj0%Draw4%Siroki Brijeg96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ferni
13'
R. Corral
16'
23'
M. Matic
🔁A. Redzicout: F. Ferreiroa
46'
47'
⚽M. Matic
57'
🔁L. Guedesout: K. Sesar
🔁J. Cuetoout: M. Savic
62'
🔁D. Savicout: O. Seslak
62'
65'
🔁M. Maticout: M. Kordic-Gruzic
65'
🔁M. Moureloout: I. Jelic
🔁B. Garayout: J. Bolivar
72'
82'
🔁M. Baracout: M. Hrkac
82'
🔁D. Virgiliout: I. Kraljevic
🔁Dani Molinaout: M. Veselinovic
82'

Form going into Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg

Sloga Doboj

Premijer Liga

  • L2-6Zrinjski11 October 2026

Siroki Brijeg

Premijer Liga

  • D0-0away to Velež9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Sloga Doboj13238821-139
4Siroki Brijeg134541314-117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg

  • 8 August 2026Siroki Brijeg 0–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
  • 2 May 2026Sloga Doboj 2–0 Siroki BrijegPremijer Liga
  • 1 March 2026Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
  • 8 November 2025Sloga Doboj 0–0 Siroki BrijegPremijer Liga
  • 23 August 2025Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga

Leading scorers: Sloga Doboj and Siroki Brijeg

Sloga Doboj

No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Siroki Brijeg

GoalsAssists

  • M. Matić11

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Siroki Brijeg won 1–0 at Sloga Doboj. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Siroki Brijeg at 38%. The goal: M. Matic 47' for Siroki Brijeg.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sloga Doboj a 77.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 71.6% after a win, 79.1% after a draw, 82.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 82.1%, 4.9 points higher than before the match.

For Siroki Brijeg the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 32.0% going in: 24.4% after a win, 32.3% after a draw, 39.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.4%, 7.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sloga Doboj v Siroki Brijeg has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is Siroki Brijeg's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Sloga Doboj win33%▼ −1
  2. Draw29%▼ −2
  3. Siroki Brijeg win38%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.