5 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Fiorentina vs Torino Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Fiorentina, 30% draw, 30% Torino — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Fiorentina at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fiorentina0%Draw4%Torino96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Christ Inao Oulaïout: Cher Ndour
24'
40'
🔁Saúl Cocoout: Ardian Ismajli
🔁Franco Mastantuonoout: Wilfried Gnonto
45'
🔁Marco Brescianiniout: Arthur Atta
45'
⚽Mateo Pellegrinoassist: Radu Drăguşin
47'
56'
🔁Niccolo Fortiniout: Nathan Patterson
56'
🔁Alessio Cacciamaniout: Rafik Belghali
70'
🔁Gvidas Gineitisout: Giovanni Simeone
70'
🔁Pietro Comuzzoout: Daniel Bragança
74'
⚽Rolando Mandragoraassist: Eray Cömert
🔁Mateo Pellegrinoout: Beto
76'
🔁Alieu Njieout: Pedro Goncalves
79'
82'
⚽Che Adamsassist: Rafik Belghali

Match stats — Fiorentina vs Torino

40%Possession60%
14Shots7
6On target4
3Corners5

Line-ups

Fiorentina 4-3-3
  • 43David de GeaG
  • 17João MárioD
  • 3R. DrăgușinD
  • 33VieryD
  • 21ValdeD
  • 44N. FagioliM
  • 42C. Inao OulaïM
  • 4M. BrescianiniM
  • 30Franco MastantuonoF
  • 32Mateo PellegrinoF
  • 25A. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 6L. RanieriD
  • 28PoteM
  • 5M. PongračićD
  • 27C. NdourM
  • 19L. LezzeriniG
  • 20Álex JiménezD
  • 29W. GnontoF
  • 2DodôD
  • 53O. ChristensenG
Coach: F. Grosso
Torino 3-1-4-2
  • 20Lucas PerriG
  • 5E. CömertD
  • 23Saúl CocoD
  • 15P. ComuzzoD
  • 8R. MandragoraM
  • 29N. FortiniM
  • 66G. GineitisM
  • 28K. Fitz-JimM
  • 77A. CacciamaniM
  • 19C. AdamsF
  • 10N. VlašićF
Substitutes
  • 7Z. AboukhlalF
  • 45R. BelghaliD
  • 21Daniel BragançaM
  • 91D. ZapataF
  • 63Manuel CarrascosaD
  • 6E. İlkhanM
  • 44A. IsmajliD
  • 17S. KulenovićF
  • 79A. LuongoF
Coach: Ignazio Abate

Form going into Fiorentina vs Torino

Fiorentina

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3Frosinone29 August 2026
  • L0-4away to AS Roma24 August 2026

Torino

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Sassuolo29 August 2026
  • L1-2AC Milan23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Fiorentina112361725-89
11Torino114251517-214

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fiorentina vs Torino

  • 7 February 2026Fiorentina 2–2 TorinoSerie A
  • 31 August 2025Torino 0–0 FiorentinaSerie A
  • 19 January 2025Fiorentina 1–1 TorinoSerie A
  • 3 November 2024Torino 0–1 FiorentinaSerie A
  • 2 March 2024Torino 0–0 FiorentinaSerie A

The full Fiorentina vs Torino record →

Leading scorers: Fiorentina and Torino

Fiorentina

GoalsAssists

  • Mateo Pellegrino40
  • Franco Mastantuono40

Torino

GoalsAssists

  • C. Adams40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Torino won 2–1 at Fiorentina. The model had leaned towards a win for Fiorentina at 40% and given a win for Torino 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Mateo Pellegrino 47' for Fiorentina, Rolando Mandragora 74' for Torino, Che Adams 82' for Torino.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.