9 August 2026, 21:30 UTC

RB Bragantino vs Corinthians Serie A prediction & result

Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Full time0 – 2

Final score: RB Bragantino 0-2 Corinthians.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% RB Bragantino, 25% draw, 24% Corinthians — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts RB Bragantino at 51% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

RB Bragantino0%Draw1%Corinthians99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Rodrigo Garro
Eric Ramires
17'
🔁H. Mosqueraout: Vinicinho
46'
59'
⚽R. Garro
🔁Eduardo Sashaout: Marcelinho
66'
66'
🔁Ranieleout: A. Carrillo
🔁Rodriguinhoout: Gustavo Neves
72'
🔁Eric Ramiresout: Matheus Fernandes
72'
74'
André Carrillo
76'
🔁Kaio Cesarout: J. Lingard
80'
Gabriel Paulista
87'
⚽Pedro Raulassist: Matheuzinho
🔁A. Hurtadoout: Yuri Alves
88'

Match stats — RB Bragantino vs Corinthians

48%Possession52%
10Shots9
2On target4
3Corners2
0.37xG1.27

Goals against chances

RB Bragantino0 from 0.37 xGabout what the chances were worth
Corinthians2 from 1.27 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 34A. HurtadoD
  • 4Alix ViniciusD
  • 14Pedro Henrique
  • 29Juninho CapixabaD
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 20RodriguinhoM
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 8Eduardo SashaM
  • 30H. MosqueraM
  • 9I. PittaF
Substitutes
  • 1CleitonG
  • 15I. SosaM
  • 22Gustavo NevesM
  • 17VinicinhoF
  • 6GabrielM
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 2G. RodriguezD
  • 57MarcelinhoM
Coach: Mancini Vagner
Corinthians 4-2-3-1
  • 1Hugo SouzaG
  • 2MatheuzinhoD
  • 3Gabriel PaulistaD
  • 13Gustavo HenriqueD
  • 21Matheus BiduD
  • 29AllanM
  • 14RanieleM
  • 37Kaio CesarM
  • 8R. GarroM
  • 7Breno BidonM
  • 18Pedro RaulF
Substitutes
  • 51KaueG
  • 5Andre RamalhoD
  • 26F. AngileriD
  • 77J. LingardM
  • 23M. PereiraM
  • 20P. MilansD
  • 46HugoD
  • 56Gui NegaoF
  • 19A. CarrilloM
Coach: Fernando Diniz

Form going into RB Bragantino vs Corinthians

RB Bragantino

  • D0-0Coritiba26 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Fluminense17 July 2026

Corinthians

  • D0-0Atletico Paranaense30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Bahia26 July 2026
  • W3-0Remo23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9RB Bragantino26106103229+336
14Corinthians2788112829-132

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Corinthians

  • 9 August 2026RB Bragantino 0–2 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 12 February 2026Corinthians 2–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 15 January 2026RB Bragantino 3–0 CorinthiansPaulista - A1
  • 5 November 2025RB Bragantino 2–1 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 13 July 2025Corinthians 1–2 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 16 January 2025RB Bragantino 1–2 CorinthiansPaulista - A1
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.