Real Betis vs Feyenoord UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Feyenoord.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Real Betis, 23% draw, 30% Feyenoord — fair odds of 2.13, 4.35 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Real Betis at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Betis vs Feyenoord
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 5Marc BartraD
- 4NatanD
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 7AntonyM
- 22IscoM
- 10A. EzzalzouliM
- 19T. ParrottF
- 25Dani CeballosM
- 13Diego CondeG
- 18N. DeossaM
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 16V. GómezD
- 6F. BernalM
- 3Diego LlorenteD
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 27J. A. MoranteF
- 1T. ErnstG
- 26G. ReadD
- 6J. St. JusteD
- 35Mika MàrmolD
- 16Javi LópezD
- 8G. ZechiëlM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 10L. ValenteF
- 32T. WesselsD
- 4T. WatanabeD
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 14S. SteijnM
- 57J. SchakenF
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 33F. KastenmeierG
- 27G. DiarraF
- 20M. DeijlD
Form going into Real Betis vs Feyenoord
Real Betis
UEFA Champions League
- W3-2FC Porto14 October 2026
- W3-2away to Lille8 September 2026
Feyenoord
UEFA Champions League
- W3-2Como14 October 2026
- L1-5away to Barcelona9 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Feyenoord
- 29 January 2026Real Betis 2–1 FeyenoordUEFA Europa League
The result against the call
Real Betis beat Feyenoord 1–0. The model had made a win for Real Betis its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Isco (penalty) 59' for Real Betis. On expected goals it finished 2.17–0.79.
How the call on Real Betis v Feyenoord has moved
First published on 7 Oct at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 47% / 23% / 30%: the biggest move is the draw, down 4 points.
- Real Betis win47%▲ +3
- Draw23%▼ −4
- Feyenoord win30%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.