2 November 2026, 19:45 UTC

Reims vs Sochaux Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims
Referee: Remi Landry
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Reims 2-0 Sochaux.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Reims, 25% draw, 19% Sochaux — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Reims at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Reims99%Draw1%Sochaux0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Sambou Soumanoassist: Yaya Fofana
6'
⚽Yaya Fofanaassist: Arone Gadou
11'
Daouda Guindo
32'
34'
Élie N'Gatta
35'
Mathis Clairicia
51'
Julien Masson
🔁Théo Deflorenneout: John Patrick
63'
🔁Arone Gadouout: seydou dembele
63'
63'
🔁Jonathan Mexiqueout: Victor Lobry
64'
🔁Landry Nomelout: Boubacar Fofana
72'
🔁Mathis Clairiciaout: Samy Baghdadi
🔁Sambou Soumanoout: Youssef el Kachati
73'
73'
🔁Dylan Tavaresout: Mohamed Toure
🔁Mohammed Daramyout: Sergio Akieme
73'
John Patrick
82'
🔁Jean Mambukuout: Armel Zohouri
88'

Match stats — Reims vs Sochaux

47%Possession53%
11Shots15
5On target2
3Corners9
1.54xG1

Goals against chances

Reims2 from 1.54 xGabout what the chances were worth
Sochaux0 from 1.00 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Reims 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. HülsmannG
  • 21J. MambukuD
  • 28N. AhouononD
  • 22S. KottoD
  • 27D. GuindoD
  • 53T. DeflorenneM
  • 6T. LeoniM
  • 19A. GadouM
  • 8Y. FofanaM
  • 9M. DaramyM
  • 99S. SoumanoF
Substitutes
  • 63A. ZohouriD
  • 7T. DiarrassoubaF
  • 18Sergio AkiemeD
  • 46seydou dembeleM
  • 10Y. El KachatiF
  • 30J. PatrickM
  • 12E. OmeragicG
  • 5John OtomewoD
  • 44M. OkwaroD
Coach: N. Usaï
Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 3D. GomisD
  • 42Dylan TavaresD
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 23J. MassonM
  • 77L. NomelM
  • 8Honoré BayanginisaM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
Substitutes
  • 2Mohamed ToureD
  • 97S. AgouzoulD
  • 5S. BaghdadiF
  • 11L. DeedsonF
  • 25P. DiopM
  • 10B. FofanaF
  • 44N. K. MouyemaF
  • 19V. LobryM
  • 50Grégory HoareauG
Coach: Vincent Hognon

Form going into Reims vs Sochaux

Reims

Ligue 2

  • D1-1away to Boulogne26 October 2026
  • W4-2Dijon16 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Nantes10 October 2026

Sochaux

Ligue 2

  • L1-3Annecy23 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Metz17 October 2026
  • D1-1Boulogne9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Reims125612415+921
16Sochaux12255815-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Reims vs Sochaux

  • 21 January 2024Sochaux 2–2 ReimsCoupe de France
  • 8 December 2022Reims 3–0 SochauxFriendlies Clubs
  • 9 February 2018Reims 3–0 SochauxLigue 2
  • 16 September 2017Sochaux 2–4 ReimsLigue 2
  • 11 February 2017Reims 0–1 SochauxLigue 2

Leading scorers: Reims and Sochaux

Reims

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Fofana112

Sochaux

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Reims beat Sochaux 2–0. The model had made a win for Reims its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Sambou Soumano 6' for Reims, Yaya Fofana 11' for Reims. On expected goals it finished 1.54–1.00.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Reims a 30.7% chance to finish in the top two: 34.2% after a win, 25.9% after a draw, 22.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 34.2%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

For Sochaux the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 26.0% going in: 17.0% after a win, 25.2% after a draw, 28.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.3%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Reims v Sochaux has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 50% / 29% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 56% / 25% / 19%: the biggest move is Reims's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Reims win56%▲ +6
  2. Draw25%▼ −4
  3. Sochaux win19%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.