6 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Twente vs Dunajska Streda UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Full time6 – 0

Final score: Twente 6-0 Dunajska Streda.

Before kick-off the model made it 77% Twente, 14% draw, 9% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 1.30, 7.14 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Twente at 77% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Twente99%Draw1%Dunajska Streda0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Rotsassist: S. Orjasaeter
7'
⚽M. Pjacaassist: W. Weghorst
11'
39'
Klemen Nemanič
45+2'
Uroš Kabić
46'
🔁U. Kabicout: M. Trusa
46'
🔁J. Bationoout: F. Diongue
⚽D. Weidmannassist: S. Orjasaeter
48'
Robin Pröpper
52'
54'
Fallou Diongue
⚽M. Brunsassist: D. Weidmann
56'
⚽R. Zerroukiassist: S. Orjasaeter
64'
🔁D. Rotsout: K. Hlynsson
65'
🔁R. Zerroukiout: M. Kjolo
65'
🔁S. Orjasaeterout: N. Unuvar
68'
68'
🔁S. Ouroout: A. Gueye
69'
🔁A. Ramadanout: A. Sylla
🔁D. Weidmannout: T. van den Belt
74'
🔁W. Weghorstout: L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
74'
⚽R. Propperassist: N. Unuvar
78'
88'
🔁G. Gaguaout: N. Udvaros

Match stats — Twente vs Dunajska Streda

63%Possession37%
21Shots10
11On target4
7Corners5

Line-ups

Twente 4-3-3
  • 1L. UnnerstallG
  • 28B. van RooijD
  • 38M. BrunsD
  • 3R. PropperD
  • 29A. AdelgaardD
  • 11D. RotsM
  • 6R. ZerroukiM
  • 42D. WeidmannM
  • 7M. PjacaF
  • 9W. WeghorstF
  • 27S. OrjasaeterF
Substitutes
  • 22R. PasveerG
  • 16J. DrommelG
  • 10S. LammersF
  • 14K. HlynssonM
  • 19Y. TahaF
  • 12G. PeixotoD
  • 4M. KjoloM
  • 20T. van den BeltM
  • 37N. UnuvarF
Coach: John van den Brom
Dunajska Streda 4-1-4-1
  • 31A. IvacicG
  • 22T. KapanadzeD
  • 33T. KacharabaD
  • 81K. NemanicD
  • 18S. Jukleroed
  • 26F. BlazekM
  • 7U. KabicM
  • 44S. OuroM
  • 17J. BationoM
  • 10A. Ramadan
  • 29G. GaguaF
Substitutes
  • 90A. NemethG
  • 1Filipe
  • 23Z. TronteljD
  • 46M. TrusaF
  • 36N. UdvarosM
  • 38M. JencusM
  • 48J. MajerD
  • 11A. GueyeF
  • 40B. Csoka
Coach: Robert Klauss

Form going into Twente vs Dunajska Streda

Twente

  • D2-2away to Ferencvarosi TC30 July 2026
  • L1-2Ferencvarosi TC23 July 2026

Dunajska Streda

  • W3-0away to Velež30 July 2026
  • W1-0Velež23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Twente vs Dunajska Streda

  • 6 August 2026Twente 6–0 Dunajska StredaUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Twente and Dunajska Streda

Twente

  • M. Pjaca4 goals1 assists
  • M. Bruns3 goals

Dunajska Streda

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.