Saint Etienne vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Saint Etienne 4-0 Grenoble.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Saint Etienne, 26% draw, 39% Grenoble — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Grenoble at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Saint Etienne vs Grenoble
Saint Etienne
- W3-1Clermont Foot14 August 2026
Grenoble
- D0-0Metz14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Saint Etienne vs Grenoble
- 14 March 2026Grenoble 0–0 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 30 August 2025Saint Etienne 1–1 GrenobleLigue 2
- 3 August 2024Grenoble 5–3 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs
- 23 April 2024Grenoble 0–2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 6 January 2024Saint Etienne 3–0 GrenobleFriendlies Clubs
- 5 August 2023Saint Etienne 0–1 GrenobleLigue 2
Leading scorers: Saint Etienne and Grenoble
Saint Etienne
- I. Cardona4 goals4 assists
- T. Ballo4 goals2 assists
- A. Boakye3 goals2 assists
Grenoble
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.