22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Nantes vs Rodez Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Full time2 – 5

Final score: Nantes 2-5 Rodez.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Nantes, 23% draw, 18% Rodez — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nantes at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Corredorassist: M. Cafaro
4'
7'
C. Issanchou
15'
⚽I. Baldeassist: R. Ponti
⚽K. Corredorassist: W. Younoussa
24'
🔁K. Corredorout: D. Tabibou
45+3'
47'
⚽R. Ponti
M. Cafaro
55'
63'
🔁R. Pontiout: E. Jean-Lambert
63'
🔁D. Pavlovicout: O. Joly
68'
J. Mendes
🔁I. Sissokoout: B. Deuff
69'
🔁J. Lepenantout: L. Leroux
69'
🔁M. Cafaroout: M. Dabo
69'
71'
⚽I. Baldeassist: R. Lipinski
72'
⚽I. Baldeassist: R. Lipinski
73'
I. Balde
74'
🔁C. Issanchouout: S. Luyambula
74'
🔁I. Baldeout: K. Nagera
W. Younoussa
76'
86'
🔁M. Touhoout: N. Nsingi
🔁H. Guirassyout: J. Kone
87'
90+5'
⚽S. Sow (OG)

Match stats — Nantes vs Rodez

59%Possession41%
14Shots16
6On target5
4Corners6

Line-ups

Nantes 4-1-4-1
  • 1Maxime DupéG
  • 24Frédéric GuilbertD
  • 4Saïdou SowD
  • 5Lucas PerrinD
  • 98Kelvin AmianD
  • 28Ibrahima SissokoM
  • 20Mathieu CafaroM
  • 8Johann LepenantM
  • 23Wilitty YounoussaM
  • 11Bahereba GuirassyM
  • 12Killian CorredorF
Substitutes
  • 17Dehmaine TabibouM
  • 52Bahmed DeuffM
  • 19Louis LerouxM
  • 47Moustapha DaboF
  • 49Doumbia KonéF
  • 16Alexis MirbachG
  • 65Hugo LamyD
  • 78Tylel TatiD
  • 99Mohamed CamaraF
Coach: Michel Der Zakarian
Rodez 5-3-2
  • 16Lucas MargueronG
  • 13Corentin Issanchou RoubiouD
  • 24Loni LaurentD
  • 4Mathis MagninD
  • 3Raphaël LipinskiD
  • 20Ryan PontiD
  • 6Jordan Mendes CorreiaM
  • 8Damjan PavlovićM
  • 29Antonin CartillierM
  • 18Ibrahima BaldéF
  • 11Mathis TouhoF
Substitutes
  • 15Evan’s Jean-LambertD
  • 22Octave JolyM
  • 28Steven Luyambula BiwaD
  • 7Kenny NageraF
  • 9Nachon NsingiF
  • 30Enzo CrombezG
  • 17Luzolo Vangi VungeleD
  • 5Clément JoliboisD
Coach: Didier Santini

Form going into Nantes vs Rodez

Nantes

  • L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026

Rodez

  • L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Nantes6114712-54
11Rodez62131112-17

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nantes vs Rodez

  • 22 August 2026Nantes 2–5 RodezLigue 2

Leading scorers: Nantes and Rodez

Nantes

  • W. Younoussa2 goals1 assists

Rodez

  • I. Baldé5 goals
  • C. Roubiou2 goals
  • O. Joly2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.