24 October 2026, 22:15 UTC

San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Referee: Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina
Full time0 – 0

Final score: San Lorenzo 0-0 Newell's Old Boys.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% San Lorenzo, 36% draw, 29% Newell's Old Boys — fair odds of 2.86, 2.78 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

the draw at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

San Lorenzo3%Draw95%Newell's Old Boys2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nicolás Tripichio
37'
🔁Rodrigo Auzmendiout: Agustín Ladstatter
45'
45'
🔁Jerónimo Gómez Mattarout: Alejo Montero
🔁Gonzalo Alassiaout: Gustavo Del Prete
45'
🔁Alexis·Cuelloout: Martín Rio
57'
64'
Luca Regiardo
🔁Facundo Gulliout: Elián Uriel Ojeda
72'
78'
Alejo Montero
80'
🔁Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyraout: Juan Ignacio Ramírez
80'
🔁Matías Cóccaroout: Walter Nunez
🔁Guzman corujoout: Mathías de Ritis
83'
84'
Lucas Carrizo
90+1'
🔁Facundo Samuel Guchout: Lucas Nicolás Gómez

Match stats — San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys

48%Possession52%
12Shots11
4On target4
6Corners5
0.57xG1.03

Goals against chances

San Lorenzo0 from 0.57 xGless than the chances were worth
Newell's Old Boys0 from 1.03 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2
  • 25J. DevecchiG
  • 16G. CorujoD
  • 2D. ArboledaD
  • 19E. AmorD
  • 24N. TripichioM
  • 62G. AlassiaM
  • 10Facundo GulliM
  • 3T. RodríguezM
  • 38F. FaríasM
  • 9A. CuelloF
  • 29R. AuzmendiF
Substitutes
  • 27M. RíoM
  • 39Elián Uriel OjedaM
  • 14A. LadstatterF
  • 8M. InsaurraldeM
  • 36Daniel HerreraD
  • 32E. HerreraD
  • 35A. CordobaD
  • 34Maximo Atrio
  • 30O. AriasD
Coach: R. Insúa
Newell's Old Boys 4-2-3-1
  • 30J. ReinattiG
  • 6M. OrtegaD
  • 25B. CabreraD
  • 16L. CarrizoD
  • 28J. RussoD
  • 5L. RegiardoM
  • 19J. MattarM
  • 7W. MazzanttiM
  • 20Facundo GauchM
  • 32S. SolariM
  • 9M. CóccaroF
Substitutes
  • 24F. EscobarD
  • 23N. GoiteaD
  • 27L. GómezM
  • 4A. MonteroM
  • 33W. NúñezF
  • 99I. RamírezF
  • 39T. RiosF
  • 22O. SalomónD
  • 36Francisco ScarpeccioF
Coach: F. Kudelka

Form going into San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys

San Lorenzo

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-1away to Estudiantes La Plata18 October 2026
  • W1-0Deportivo Riestra11 October 2026

Newell's Old Boys

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-1Central Cordoba de Santiago19 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11San Lorenzo16547916-719
6Newell's Old Boys165831613+323

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys

  • 12 April 2026Newell's Old Boys 0–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 27 July 2024San Lorenzo 1–1 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 March 2024Newell's Old Boys 2–2 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 7 October 2023San Lorenzo 0–3 Newell's Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 20 March 2023Newell's Old Boys 1–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 June 2022Newell's Old Boys 0–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina

The full San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys record →

Leading scorers: San Lorenzo and Newell's Old Boys

San Lorenzo

GoalsAssists

  • R. Auzmendi72

Newell's Old Boys

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

San Lorenzo and Newell's Old Boys drew 0–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a draw at 36%. On expected goals it finished 0.57–1.03.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave San Lorenzo a 35.4% chance to finish in the top eight: 61.3% after a win, 26.1% after a draw, 10.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 26.1%, 9.3 points lower than before the match.

For Newell's Old Boys the question was the chance to finish in the top eight: 99.5% after a win, 92.8% after a draw, 71.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 92.8%.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on San Lorenzo v Newell's Old Boys has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 33% / 36% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 35% / 36% / 29%: the biggest move is San Lorenzo's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. San Lorenzo win35%▲ +2
  2. Draw36%=
  3. Newell's Old Boys win29%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.