26 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe
Referee: Horia Gabriel Mladinovici, Romania
Full time0 – 5

Final score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-5 Universitatea Craiova.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 30% draw, 52% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 5.56, 3.33 and 1.92.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Craiova at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe0%Draw1%Universitatea Craiova99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽O. Romanchukassist: A. Cicaldau
L. Rose
31'
34'
⚽A. Al Hamlawi (pen)
49'
⚽A. Al Hamlawiassist: S. Baiaram
🔁R. Cimpeanout: H. Batzula
57'
🔁R. Silaghiout: A. Keita
57'
59'
🔁N. Stevanovicout: B. Roux
59'
🔁T. Balutaout: J. Lameira
🔁B. Cmiljanicout: M. Mawa
66'
🔁D. Oberlinout: N. Heras
66'
71'
🔁A. Al Hamlawiout: S. Elisor
71'
🔁S. Baiaramout: Heriberto Tavares
72'
⚽S. Elisorassist: A. Cicaldau
75'
🔁V. Screciuout: M. Radulescu
S. Karamoko
79'
80'
⚽S. Elisorassist: M. Radulescu
🔁D. Andreiout: D. Virtej
81'

Match stats — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova

39%Possession61%
0Shots25
0On target12
0Corners3

Line-ups

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-3-3
  • 91David LazarG
  • 25Bogdan OtelițăD
  • 31Lindsay RoseD
  • 4Setigui KaramokoD
  • 3Fábio ViannaD
  • 6Nicolae PăunM
  • 7Robert SilaghiM
  • 27Raul CîmpeanM
  • 17Doru AndreiF
  • 9Boris CmiljanićF
  • 11Dimitri OberlinF
Substitutes
  • 8Aboubakar KeitaM
  • 23Hunor BatzulaM
  • 20Nacho HerasF
  • 14Moses MawaF
  • 82Daniel VîrtejD
  • 33Szilárd GyengeG
  • 5Bogdan VătăjeluD
  • 21Alin DobrosavleviciD
  • 19Giovani GhimfușM
Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
  • 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
  • 24Nikola StevanovićD
  • 6Vladimir ScreciuD
  • 17Carlos MoraM
  • 8Tudor BăluțăM
  • 20Alexandru CicâldăuM
  • 11Nicușor BancuM
  • 30David MateiF
  • 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
  • 10Ștefan BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 5Baptiste RouxD
  • 16João LameiraM
  • 22Simon ElisorF
  • 19Heriberto TavaresD
  • 18Mihnea RădulescuM
  • 1Alexandru MaximG
  • 90Răzvan SavaG
  • 31Ronaldo WebsterD
  • 29Luca BăsceanuM

Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Liga I

  • D1-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti17 October 2026
  • L0-2Dinamo Bucuresti9 October 2026

Universitatea Craiova

Liga I

  • W2-0Farul Constanta18 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Csikszereda11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe154651120-918
1Universitatea Craiova1510323410+2433

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova

  • 14 December 2024Universitatea Craiova 2–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 11 August 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 18 May 2024Universitatea Craiova 3–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 21 April 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–3 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 4 February 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–3 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 16 September 2023Universitatea Craiova 2–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I

Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Universitatea Craiova

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Universitatea Craiova

GoalsAssists

  • S. Elisor90
  • A. Al Hamlawi70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Universitatea Craiova won 5–0 at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: O. Romanchuk 2' for Universitatea Craiova, A. Al Hamlawi (penalty) 34' for Universitatea Craiova, A. Al Hamlawi 49' for Universitatea Craiova, S. Elisor 72' for Universitatea Craiova, S. Elisor 80' for Universitatea Craiova. Sent off: S. Karamoko (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) 79'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe a 20.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 12.0% after a win, 18.8% after a draw, 23.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.0%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

For Universitatea Craiova the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 47.7% going in: 51.8% after a win, 44.5% after a draw, 38.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.8%, 4.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.