CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: CFR 1907 Cluj 2-2 Dinamo Bucuresti.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% CFR 1907 Cluj, 29% draw, 39% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Bucuresti at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31O. VâlceanuG
- 3I. GelashviliD
- 21C. IgnatD
- 42R. PantalonD
- 77A. SfaitM
- 18E. OmićM
- 6O. PerianuM
- 23A. ZiblimM
- 47C. BraunM
- 11A. CordeaF
- 9S. DražićF
- 86V. KunM
- 19S. BușF
- 99J. DumasF
- 1R. GalG
- 41A. KrešićD
- 40Leonard SacaD
- 10A. PaunM
- 66Cristian DavidM
- 29B. OmraniF
- 36A. BellaarouchG
- 20D. IrimiaD
- 5Imran FetaiD
- 15N. StoioanovD
- 31R. OpruțD
- 77D. ArmstrongM
- 29Alberto SoroM
- 90A. MărgineanM
- 10C. CîrjanM
- 97D. ZandbergenF
- 9M. KaramokoF
- 18O. HintsaF
- 33Costin Gabriel UngureanuM
- 23I. TarbaF
- 73A. RoșcaG
- 19R. RaduD
- 66S. OprișM
- 21Cristian Petrișor MihaiM
- 26A. MaziluF
- 30M. DuțuD
Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
- L0-1away to Uta Arad18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti12 October 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
Liga I
- W2-0FC Botosani16 October 2026
- W2-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 19 |
| 2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
- 16 May 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 12 April 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 9 March 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 2–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 31 October 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 2–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 28 April 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 15 March 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 3–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and Dinamo Bucuresti
CFR 1907 Cluj
GoalsAssists
- S. Dražić71
- A. Cordea62
Dinamo Bucuresti
GoalsAssists
- D. Armstrong610
- Martín Pascual50
- Alberto Soro44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CFR 1907 Cluj and Dinamo Bucuresti drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Bucuresti at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Andrei Cordea 26' for CFR 1907 Cluj, Cristian Ignat 61' for CFR 1907 Cluj, Catalin Cirjan 78' for Dinamo Bucuresti, D. Zandbergen 81' for Dinamo Bucuresti. On expected goals it finished 0.81–1.20.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave CFR 1907 Cluj a 40.6% chance to finish in the top six: 49.1% after a win, 39.3% after a draw, 33.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 39.3%, 1.3 points lower than before the match.
For Dinamo Bucuresti the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 41.1% going in: 47.9% after a win, 40.1% after a draw, 35.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 40.1%, 1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.