18 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City Super League prediction & result

Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai
Referee: Jing Wang, China
Full time3 – 0

Final score: SHANGHAI SIPG 3-0 Chengdu Better City.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% SHANGHAI SIPG, 26% draw, 30% Chengdu Better City — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SHANGHAI SIPG at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Zhang Linpeng
13'
O. Melendo
54'
Browning Tyias
55'
⚽Wang Dongsheng (OG)
57'
59'
Matheus Jussa
64'
🔁Wang Dongshengout: Romulo
78'
🔁Y. Dongout: Liao Rongxiang
78'
🔁Abduweli Behramout: Wellington Silva
82'
🔁Matheus Jussaout: Liao Lisheng
82'
🔁Felipe Silvaout: Shuai Weihao
⚽Leonardoassist: Mateus Vital
83'
🔁Liu Zhurunout: X. Li
85'
🔁Leonardoout: Wu Lei
89'
Yan Junling
89'
🔁Browning Tyiasout: Wang Shenchao
89'
🔁Li Shuaiout: Yue Xin
90+2'
🔁O. Melendoout: Zhang Yuan
90+2'
X. Li
90+4'
⚽Wu Leiassist: P. O. Ampem
90+4'

Match stats — SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City

67%Possession33%
17Shots7
5On target3
5Corners1

Line-ups

SHANGHAI SIPG 3-4-3
  • 1Yan JunlingG
  • 13Zhen WeiD
  • 3Guangtai JiangD
  • 40Yusup UmidjanD
  • 8Jean Claude AziangbeM
  • 21Óscar MelendoM
  • 10Mateus VitalM
  • 32Shuai LiM
  • 33Liu ZhurunF
  • 45LeonardoF
  • 17Prince AmpemF
Substitutes
  • 49Xinxiang LiF
  • 4Wang ShenchaoD
  • 7Wu LeiF
  • 28Yue XinD
  • 6Yuan ZhangD
  • 12Chen WeiG
  • 31Shimeng BaoD
  • 5Zhang LinpengD
  • 38Lu YongtaoM
Chengdu Better City 4-4-2
  • 32Liu DianzuoG
  • 17Wang DongshengD
  • 19Dong YanfengD
  • 28Egor SorokinD
  • 4He YiranD
  • 27Baihelamu AbuduwailiM
  • 16Yang Ming-YangM
  • 5Matheus JussaM
  • 2Hu HetaoM
  • 9Felipe SilvaF
  • 20Wang ZimingF
Substitutes
  • 10RômuloM
  • 58Liao RongxiangM
  • 11Wellington SilvaF
  • 23Liao LishengM
  • 52Weihao ShuaiF
  • 1Tao JianG
  • 15Weifeng RanG
  • 22Yang LiD
  • 29Iminqari MutallepM

Form going into SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City

SHANGHAI SIPG

Super League

  • W4-2away to Hangzhou Greentown9 October 2026
  • D0-0Beijing Guoan5 September 2026

Chengdu Better City

Super League

  • L0-1Tianjin Teda10 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Henan Jianye6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5SHANGHAI SIPG3014885637+1945
2Chengdu Better City3015785338+1552

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City

  • 19 May 2026Chengdu Better City 0–1 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
  • 30 August 2025Chengdu Better City 4–1 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
  • 20 April 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 1–3 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
  • 18 October 2024Chengdu Better City 3–1 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
  • 22 May 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 2–0 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
  • 23 September 2023Chengdu Better City 2–1 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League

Leading scorers: SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City

SHANGHAI SIPG

GoalsAssists

  • Leonardo145

Chengdu Better City

GoalsAssists

  • Felipe183
  • Wellington Silva106

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Chengdu Better City 3–0. The model had made a win for SHANGHAI SIPG its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Wang Dongsheng (own goal) 57' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Leonardo 83' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Wu Lei 90+4' for SHANGHAI SIPG.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SHANGHAI SIPG a 13.8% chance to finish in the top four: 24.0% after a win, 4.5% after a draw, 2.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.0%, 10.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SHANGHAI SIPG v Chengdu Better City has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is SHANGHAI SIPG's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. SHANGHAI SIPG win44%▲ +5
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Chengdu Better City win30%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.