15 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham Championship prediction & result

Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Sheffield Utd 0-0 Birmingham.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Sheffield Utd, 26% draw, 28% Birmingham — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sheffield Utd at 46% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sheffield Utd5%Draw92%Birmingham3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Thomas Cannonout: Tyrese Campbell
60'
🔁Romelle Donovanout: Tahith Chong
60'
🔁Joe Rothwellout: Oliver Arblaster
67'
74'
🔁Jay Stansfieldout: Demarai Gray
🔁Patrick Bamfordout: Ryan One
77'
🔁Sam McCallumout: Harrison Burrows
78'
80'
🔁Seung Ho Paikout: Max Bird
87'
🔁Carlos Vicenteout: Ethan Laird
87'
🔁August Priskeout: Luis Vázquez

Match stats — Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham

45%Possession55%
3Shots10
1On target2
2Corners8
0.36xG0.65

Goals against chances

Sheffield Utd0 from 0.36 xGabout what the chances were worth
Birmingham0 from 0.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sheffield Utd
  • 1Michael CooperG
  • 38Femi SerikiD
  • 5Japhet TangangaD
  • 25Mark McGuinnessD
  • 3Sam McCallumD
  • 42Sydie PeckM
  • 7Joe RothwellM
  • 11Romelle DonovanM
  • 10Callum O'HareM
  • 45Patrick BamfordF
  • 9Thomas CannonF
Substitutes
  • 19Tahith ChongM
  • 23Tyrese CampbellF
  • 4Oliver ArblasterM
  • 26Ryan OneF
  • 14Harrison BurrowsD
  • 17Adam DaviesG
  • 33Jamal BaptisteM
  • 2Matt DohertyD
  • 44Jaïro RiedewaldM
Coach: Chris Wilder
Birmingham
  • 1James BeadleG
  • 26Bright Osayi-SamuelD
  • 5Phil NeumannD
  • 4Christoph KlarerD
  • 20Alex CochraneD
  • 24Tomoki IwataM
  • 14Jhon SolísM
  • 7Carlos VicenteM
  • 8Seung Ho PaikM
  • 28Jay StansfieldM
  • 9August PriskeF
Substitutes
  • 10Demarai GrayF
  • 18Max BirdM
  • 2Ethan LairdD
  • 32Luis VázquezF
  • 21Ryan AllsopG
  • 23Dael FryD
  • 25Kristoffer LundD
  • 27Kanya FujimotoM
  • 16Patrick RobertsM
Coach: Chris Davies

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Sheffield Utd723289-19
10Birmingham7241109+110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham

  • 15 August 2026Sheffield Utd 0–0 BirminghamChampionship
  • 14 March 2026Birmingham 1–1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
  • 20 December 2025Sheffield Utd 3–0 BirminghamChampionship
  • 13 August 2025Birmingham 2–1 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
  • 8 May 2023Birmingham 1–2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
  • 1 October 2022Sheffield Utd 1–1 BirminghamChampionship
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.