24 October 2026, 07:30 UTC

Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG Super League prediction & result

Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Tianjin Teda 1-3 SHANGHAI SIPG.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Tianjin Teda, 29% draw, 33% SHANGHAI SIPG — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Tianjin Teda at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tianjin Teda0%Draw1%SHANGHAI SIPG99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Xie Weijun
19'
C. Salvador
36'
42'
A. Yang
45'
⚽P. O. Ampemassist: Leonardo
53'
⚽Leonardo (pen)
56'
Yue Xin
Yu Genwei
58'
🔁Huang Jiahuiout: Ji Shengpan
61'
🔁Xie Weijunout: Chen Zhexuan
61'
62'
Liu Zhurun
🔁Ba Dunout: Wu Xinghan
65'
67'
🔁P. O. Ampemout: Li Shuai
70'
Wei Zhen
72'
Leonardo
⚽Sun Ming-Himassist: A. Quiles
73'
74'
🔁Liu Zhurunout: Kuai Jiwen
74'
🔁O. Melendoout: Zhang Yuan
🔁Guilherme Schettineout: Wang Qiuming
80'
🔁C. Salvadorout: J. Liu
80'
87'
⚽Leonardoassist: Kuai Jiwen
88'
🔁Leonardoout: X. Li
88'
🔁Mateus Vitalout: Wang Shenchao

Match stats — Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG

45%Possession55%
13Shots10
5On target5
3Corners5

Line-ups

Tianjin Teda 5-3-2
  • 25Yan BingliangG
  • 29Dun BaD
  • 11Xie WeijunD
  • 18Aitor CórdobaD
  • 6Xianjun WangD
  • 31Ming-Him SunD
  • 10Cristian SalvadorM
  • 14Jiahui HuangM
  • 8Bruno XadasM
  • 9Alberto QuilesF
  • 7Guilherme SchettineF
Substitutes
  • 24Chen ZhexuanD
  • 20Shengpan JiF
  • 17Xinghan WuD
  • 30Qiuming WangM
  • 19Junxian LiuM
  • 21Qi YuxiG
  • 16Shuai LiuM
  • 38Shuaiqi LiD
  • 3Zhenghao WangD
SHANGHAI SIPG 3-4-3
  • 1Yan JunlingG
  • 8Jean Claude AziangbeD
  • 13Zhen WeiD
  • 40Yusup UmidjanD
  • 22Xi YangM
  • 21Óscar MelendoM
  • 10Mateus VitalM
  • 28Yue XinM
  • 33Liu ZhurunF
  • 45LeonardoF
  • 17Prince AmpemF
Substitutes
  • 32Shuai LiD
  • 6Yuan ZhangD
  • 47Kuai JiwenF
  • 4Wang ShenchaoD
  • 49Xinxiang LiF
  • 12Chen WeiG
  • 19Wang ZhenaoD
  • 23Fu HuanD
  • 3Guangtai JiangD

Form going into Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG

Tianjin Teda

Super League

  • W1-0away to Henan Jianye16 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Chengdu Better City10 October 2026
  • W1-0Shenyang Urban12 September 2026

SHANGHAI SIPG

Super League

  • W3-0Chengdu Better City18 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Hangzhou Greentown9 October 2026
  • D0-0Beijing Guoan5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Tianjin Teda30118114038+231
5SHANGHAI SIPG3014885637+1945

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG

  • 23 May 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
  • 24 August 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
  • 16 April 2025Tianjin Teda 1–4 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
  • 2 November 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 5–0 Tianjin TedaSuper League
  • 22 August 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 3–0 Tianjin TedaFA Cup
  • 14 June 2024Tianjin Teda 0–3 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League

Leading scorers: Tianjin Teda and SHANGHAI SIPG

Tianjin Teda

GoalsAssists

  • Alberto Quiles115

SHANGHAI SIPG

GoalsAssists

  • Leonardo145

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SHANGHAI SIPG won 3–1 at Tianjin Teda. The model had leaned towards a win for Tianjin Teda at 38% and given a win for SHANGHAI SIPG 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: P. O. Ampem 45' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Leonardo (penalty) 53' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Sun Ming-Him 73' for Tianjin Teda, Leonardo 87' for SHANGHAI SIPG. Sent off: Yue Xin (SHANGHAI SIPG) 56'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SHANGHAI SIPG a 23.7% chance to finish in the top four: 53.9% after a win, 9.3% after a draw, 6.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 53.9%, 30.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.