5 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga prediction & result

Eden Arena, Prague
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Slavia Praha 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Slavia Praha, 28% draw, 25% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slavia Praha at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Praha99%Draw1%Zbrojovka Brno0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁David Zimaout: Tomáš Vlček
20'
🔁Lukáš Provodout: Emmanuel Ayaosi
26'
31'
Tadeáš Vachoušek
36'
Jakub Klíma
⚽Tomáš Chorý (pen)
38'
Stepan Chaloupek
42'
Danijel Sturm
45'
62'
🔁Tadeáš Vachoušekout: Bienvenue Kanakimana
🔁Oskar Kubiakout: David Jurasek
63'
🔁Wiktor Nowakout: Pavel Kacor
63'
⚽Tomáš Chorýassist: Samuel Isife
65'
70'
🔁Štěpán Langerout: Jaromír Zmrhal
70'
🔁Jakub Klímaout: Jakub Janetzky
72'
Bienvenue Kanakimana
⚽Emmanuel Ayaosiassist: Danijel Sturm
76'
🔁Danijel Sturmout: Toumani Diakite
80'
🔁Tomáš Chorýout: Mojmír Chytil
80'
85'
🔁Daniel Vasulinout: Oliver Velich
85'
🔁Antonín Vaníčekout: Lukas Saal
⚽David Jurasekassist: Emmanuel Ayaosi
88'
90+1'
🔁Patrik Cavosout: Petr Ševčík

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

52%Possession48%
16Shots12
6On target0
5Corners1

Line-ups

Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1
  • 35J. MarkovicG
  • 42M. KonecnyD
  • 4D. ZimaD
  • 2S. ChaloupekD
  • 14S. IsifeM
  • 30W. NowakM
  • 23M. SadilekM
  • 8O. KubiakM
  • 10D. SturmF
  • 17L. ProvodF
  • 25T. ChoryF
Substitutes
  • 29N. DomchakG
  • 39D. JurasekD
  • 45J. KolisekD
  • 27T. VlcekD
  • 43E. PitakD
  • 20E. AyaosiM
  • 22T. DiakiteM
  • 32P. KacorM
  • 26I. SchranzF
Coach: Jindrich Trpisovsky
Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3
  • 1A. HrdinaG
  • 39J. KlimaD
  • 4E. HunalD
  • 3Kaka
  • 6L. PenxaM
  • 8P. CavosM
  • 7S. LangerM
  • 44A. DanteM
  • 14T. VachousekF
  • 15D. VasulinF
  • 10A. VanicekF
Substitutes
  • 78O. ProdelalG
  • 25T. BreckaD
  • 18D. GranecnyD
  • 17J. ZmrhalM
  • 68J. JanetzkyM
  • 20L. SaalM
  • 23P. SevcikM
  • 29P. ZitnyM
  • 11M. RymarenkoF
Coach: Martin Svedik

Form going into Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

Slavia Praha

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
  • D2-2Bohemians 190522 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026
  • W2-1Pardubice9 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026

Zbrojovka Brno

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Hradec Králové2 September 2026
  • W3-2Zlin29 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Teplice23 August 2026
  • L0-1Slovan Liberec7 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Plzen1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Slavia Praha went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Slavia Praha scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Slavia Praha had three goals or more.
  • Zbrojovka Brno scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Zbrojovka Brno had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slavia Praha141040368+2834
10Zbrojovka Brno146261722-520

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

  • 11 February 2023Slavia Praha 2–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
  • 28 August 2022Zbrojovka Brno 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 4 April 2021Zbrojovka Brno 0–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 29 November 2020Slavia Praha 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno

Slavia Praha

GoalsAssists

  • M. Chytil61
  • E. Ayaosi53
  • W. Nowak51

Zbrojovka Brno

GoalsAssists

  • D. Vašulín50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slavia Praha beat Zbrojovka Brno 4–0. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Tomáš Chorý (penalty) 38' for Slavia Praha, Tomáš Chorý 65' for Slavia Praha, Emmanuel Ayaosi 76' for Slavia Praha, David Jurasek 88' for Slavia Praha.

How the call on Slavia Praha v Zbrojovka Brno has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 49% / 27% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is Slavia Praha's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Slavia Praha win47%▼ −2
  2. Draw28%▲ +1
  3. Zbrojovka Brno win25%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.