5 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga prediction & result

Fortuna Arena, Prague
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Slavia Praha 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Slavia Praha, 28% draw, 25% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slavia Praha at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Praha99%Draw1%Zbrojovka Brno0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁David Zimaout: Tomáš Vlček
20'
🔁Lukáš Provodout: Emmanuel Ayaosi
26'
31'
Tadeáš Vachoušek
36'
Jakub Klíma
⚽Tomáš Chorý (pen)
38'
Stepan Chaloupek
42'
Danijel Sturm
45'
62'
🔁Tadeáš Vachoušekout: Bienvenue Kanakimana
🔁Oskar Kubiakout: David Jurasek
63'
🔁Wiktor Nowakout: Pavel Kacor
63'
⚽Tomáš Chorýassist: Samuel Isife
65'
70'
🔁Štěpán Langerout: Jaromír Zmrhal
70'
🔁Jakub Klímaout: Jakub Janetzky
72'
Bienvenue Kanakimana
⚽Emmanuel Ayaosiassist: Danijel Sturm
76'
🔁Danijel Sturmout: Toumani Diakite
80'
🔁Tomáš Chorýout: Mojmír Chytil
80'
85'
🔁Daniel Vasulinout: Oliver Velich
85'
🔁Antonín Vaníčekout: Lukas Saal
⚽David Jurasekassist: Emmanuel Ayaosi
88'
90+1'
🔁Patrik Cavosout: Petr Ševčík

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

52%Possession48%
16Shots12
6On target0
5Corners1

Line-ups

Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1
  • 35J. MarkovicG
  • 42M. KonecnyD
  • 4D. ZimaD
  • 2S. ChaloupekD
  • 14S. IsifeM
  • 30W. NowakM
  • 23M. SadilekM
  • 8O. KubiakM
  • 10D. SturmF
  • 17L. ProvodF
  • 25T. ChoryF
Substitutes
  • 29N. DomchakG
  • 39D. JurasekD
  • 45J. KolisekD
  • 27T. VlcekD
  • 43E. PitakD
  • 20E. AyaosiM
  • 22T. DiakiteM
  • 32P. KacorM
  • 26I. SchranzF
Coach: Jindrich Trpisovsky
Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3
  • 1A. HrdinaG
  • 39J. KlimaD
  • 4E. HunalD
  • 3Kaka
  • 6L. PenxaM
  • 8P. CavosM
  • 7S. LangerM
  • 44A. DanteM
  • 14T. VachousekF
  • 15D. VasulinF
  • 10A. VanicekF
Substitutes
  • 78O. ProdelalG
  • 25T. BreckaD
  • 18D. GranecnyD
  • 17J. ZmrhalM
  • 68J. JanetzkyM
  • 20L. SaalM
  • 23P. SevcikM
  • 29P. ZitnyM
  • 11M. RymarenkoF
Coach: Martin Svedik

Form going into Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

Slavia Praha

  • W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
  • D2-2Bohemians 190522 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026

Zbrojovka Brno

  • W1-0Hradec Králové2 September 2026
  • W3-2Zlin29 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Teplice23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slavia Praha8620235+1820
4Zbrojovka Brno85121210+216

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

  • 5 September 2026Slavia Praha 4–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
  • 11 February 2023Slavia Praha 2–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
  • 28 August 2022Zbrojovka Brno 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 4 April 2021Zbrojovka Brno 0–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 29 November 2020Slavia Praha 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno

Slavia Praha

  • W. Nowak5 goals1 assists
  • M. Chytil4 goals
  • E. Ayaosi3 goals1 assists

Zbrojovka Brno

  • D. Vašulín4 goals
  • A. Vaníček3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.