6 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Silkeborg vs Lyngby Superliga prediction & result

Jysk Park, Silkeborg
Referee: Svendsen·Frederik
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Silkeborg 1-0 Lyngby.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Silkeborg, 23% draw, 36% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.44, 4.35 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Silkeborg at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Silkeborg94%Draw6%Lyngby0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jens Martin Gammelbyassist: Oliver Ross
57'
🔁Kristian Kirkegaardout: Kristian Bloch Bøgild
60'
🔁William Kirkout: Mads Freundlich
60'
66'
🔁Oliver Højerout: Sanders Ngabo
67'
🔁Frederik Gytkjærout: William Steindorsson
Mads Freundlich
68'
75'
🔁Isak Thorvaldssonout: Jens Thomasen
🔁Lucas Thorst Riisgaardout: Sofus Berger
76'
80'
Zidan Sertdemir
Alexander Priesborg Madsen
85'
🔁Oliver Rossout: Julius Lorents Nielsen
89'
Villads Westh
90+1'
90+1'
🔁Zidan Sertdemirout: Nemanja Nedic

Match stats — Silkeborg vs Lyngby

48%Possession52%
10Shots4
2On target0
0Corners1
0.93xG0.18

Goals against chances

Silkeborg1 from 0.93 xGabout what the chances were worth
Lyngby0 from 0.18 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Silkeborg 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. AndrésenG
  • 24A. MadsenD
  • 3R. ØstrømD
  • 4Pedro GanchasD
  • 7V. WesthM
  • 27W. KirkM
  • 20M. LarsenM
  • 19J. GammelbyM
  • 21L. RiisgaardM
  • 10K. KirkegaardM
  • 11O. RossF
Substitutes
  • 26M. ØxenbergM
  • 14S. BergerM
  • 22R. Al HajjM
  • 42Kristian Bloch BøgildF
  • 36J. NielsenM
  • 15M. JonssonD
  • 30T. MikkelsenG
  • 33M. FreundlichM
  • 2A. PoulsenD
Coach: M. Dahm Kjaergaard
Lyngby 4-4-2
  • 31D. KochenG
  • 2O. BuurD
  • 30M. FischerD
  • 12David Helgi AronssonD
  • 25R. TytensD
  • 19G. FrauloM
  • 14L. SandgravM
  • 16Z. SertdemirM
  • 5Oliver HøjerM
  • 26F. GytkjærF
  • 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
Substitutes
  • 18J. ThomasenM
  • 1J. ÆgidiusG
  • 4C. AllenD
  • 8M. HeboM
  • 27A. HoskonenD
  • 6D. KristjánssonD
  • 29N. NedićD
  • 22S. NgaboM
  • 17W. SteindorssonM
Coach: Mikkel Jespersen

Form going into Silkeborg vs Lyngby

Silkeborg

Superliga

  • L1-4away to Odense1 November 2026
  • D1-1FC Nordsjaelland25 October 2026
  • L0-4away to Sonderjyske18 October 2026
  • D3-3AC Horsens11 October 2026

Lyngby

Superliga

  • W2-1Randers FC30 October 2026
  • L2-3away to FC Midtjylland25 October 2026
  • D3-3FC Nordsjaelland18 October 2026
  • L2-5away to Brondby11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Silkeborg did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Silkeborg conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Silkeborg scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Lyngby scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Lyngby conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Lyngby had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Silkeborg143651824-615
10Lyngby142571929-1011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs Lyngby

  • 18 September 2026Lyngby 0–4 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 27 April 2025Lyngby 2–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 6 April 2025Silkeborg 2–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 9 March 2025Silkeborg 0–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 29 September 2024Lyngby 2–2 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 3 December 2023Lyngby 2–0 SilkeborgSuperliga

Leading scorers: Silkeborg and Lyngby

Silkeborg

GoalsAssists

  • O. Ross72

Lyngby

GoalsAssists

  • S. Colyn53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Silkeborg beat Lyngby 1–0. The model had made a win for Silkeborg its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Jens Martin Gammelby 57' for Silkeborg. On expected goals it finished 0.93–0.18.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Silkeborg a 57.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 41.6% after a win, 59.2% after a draw, 72.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.6%, 15.4 points lower than before the match.

For Lyngby the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 61.8% going in: 45.7% after a win, 64.5% after a draw, 75.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 75.4%, 13.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Silkeborg v Lyngby has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 45% / 23% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 23% / 36%: the biggest move is Silkeborg's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Silkeborg win41%▼ −4
  2. Draw23%=
  3. Lyngby win36%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.