Skalica vs Spartak Trnava Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Skalica 1-1 Spartak Trnava.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Skalica, 27% draw, 49% Spartak Trnava — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Spartak Trnava at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 39M. Junas
- 13S. Sula
- 6P. Karhan
- 20O. Podhorin
- 3M. Cernek
- 27D. Baris
- 5M. Ryzek
- 23E. Daniel
- 19M. Masik
- 8L. Simko
- 9A. Morong
- 1R. Ludha
- 21A. Ravas
- 17P. Pudhorocky
- 14M. Gulisek
- 11A. Krizan
- 91R. Potocny
- 34E. Eshele
- 30A. Abdullahi
- 7P. Onyedika
- 72M. Vantruba
- 21L. Fabis
- 2P. Nwadike
- 13M. Ujlaky
- 3J. Carrion
- 8G. Moistsrapishvili
- 91M. Lausic
- 11P. Azango
- 30L. Khorkheli
- 20F. Trello
- 14T. Wildeboer
- 1B. Szaraz
- 4L. Holik
- 25I. Mensah
- 6R. Prochazka
- 5R. Begala
- 7S. Skrbo
- 15D. Konney
- 22D. Bukovsky
- 17L. Mehmeti
Form going into Skalica vs Spartak Trnava
Skalica
Super Liga
- L0-2AS Trencin17 October 2026
- D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026
Spartak Trnava
Super Liga
- L0-3Slovan Bratislava17 October 2026
- W3-1away to Podbrezová11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Skalica | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 4 | Spartak Trnava | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Skalica vs Spartak Trnava
- 25 July 2026Spartak Trnava 1–1 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 13 December 2025Spartak Trnava 2–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 13 September 2025Skalica 0–4 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 30 November 2024Spartak Trnava 2–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 24 August 2024Skalica 1–2 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Skalica and Spartak Trnava
Skalica
GoalsAssists
- Philip Onyedika31
Spartak Trnava
GoalsAssists
- T. Kudlička31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Skalica and Spartak Trnava drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Spartak Trnava at 49% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: T. Wildeboer 5' for Spartak Trnava, O. Podhorin (penalty) 45+5' for Skalica.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Skalica a 53.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 40.4% after a win, 52.0% after a draw, 61.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 52.0%, 1.9 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.