24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Super Liga prediction & result

Bratislava
Referee: F. Glova
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Dukla Banská Bystrica.

Before kick-off the model made it 72% Slovan Bratislava, 18% draw, 10% Dukla Banská Bystrica — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slovan Bratislava at 72%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slovan Bratislava98%Draw2%Dukla Banská Bystrica0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Gajdos
45'
52'
E. Arevalo
⚽K. Bajricassist: S. Cruz
53'
🔁S. Cruzout: S. Kozlovsky
56'
K. Bajric
62'
🔁R. Ibrahimout: A. Mustafic
62'
🔁M. Kiangaout: T. Barseghyan
63'
64'
D. Richtarech
64'
🔁E. Arevaloout: K. Vallo
64'
🔁D. Richtarechout: T. Slebodnik
71'
M. Bakala
⚽T. Barseghyan (pen)
76'
🔁S. Camaraout: C. Martinez
77'
🔁A. Gajdosout: N. Marcelli
77'
78'
L. Willweber
85'
🔁J. Povazanecout: E. Okechukwu
85'
🔁R. Polievkaout: A. Hanes
88'
⚽A. Hanes
90+3'
⚽A. Hanesassist: K. Vallo
90+7'
🔁M. Durisout: V. Toth

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava
  • 71D. Takac
  • 28C. Blackman
  • 12K. Bajric
  • 15S. Markovic
  • 57S. Cruz
  • 3P. Pokorny
  • 19M. Kianga
  • 5R. Ibrahim
  • 8A. Gajdos
  • 21S. Camara
  • 30A. Griger
Substitutes
  • 1A. Popovic
  • 2S. Kozlovsky
  • 6K. Wimmer
  • 70C. Martinez
  • 20A. Mustafic
  • 11T. Barseghyan
  • 88D. Matsuoka
  • 7L. Hofstadter
  • 10N. Marcelli
Coach: Yaya Toure
Dukla Banská Bystrica
  • 31L. Hrosso
  • 42Maik
  • 23M. Bakala
  • 41L. Willweber
  • 13N. Sikula
  • 7J. Povazanec
  • 6D. Richtarech
  • 29E. Arevalo
  • 28M. Gjorgievski
  • 17R. Polievka
  • 57M. Duris
Substitutes
  • 1J. Trefil
  • 11K. Vallo
  • 3A. Adewale
  • 14Joao Miranda
  • 24V. Toth
  • 9T. Slebodnik
  • 73A. Hanes
  • 15A. Sivicek
  • 25E. Okechukwu
Coach: Daniel Valach

Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

Slovan Bratislava

Super Liga

  • W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Super Liga

  • W1-0Podbrezová18 October 2026
  • W1-0away to AS Trencin10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Slovan Bratislava148423215+1728
7Dukla Banská Bystrica144281427-1314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

  • 26 July 2026Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–4 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 1 December 2024Slovan Bratislava 3–1 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
  • 25 August 2024Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 4 November 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–4 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
  • 5 August 2023Slovan Bratislava 2–2 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
  • 13 May 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and Dukla Banská Bystrica

Slovan Bratislava

GoalsAssists

  • T. Barseghyan42
  • Tag Eldin Ibrahim40
  • Manasse Kianga22

Dukla Banská Bystrica

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovan Bratislava and Dukla Banská Bystrica drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovan Bratislava at 72% and given a draw 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: K. Bajric 53' for Slovan Bratislava, T. Barseghyan (penalty) 76' for Slovan Bratislava, A. Hanes 88' for Dukla Banská Bystrica, A. Hanes 90+3' for Dukla Banská Bystrica.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slovan Bratislava a 13.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 15.1% after a win, 8.5% after a draw, 5.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 8.5%, 5.3 points lower than before the match.

For Dukla Banská Bystrica the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 19.9% going in: 37.9% after a win, 23.0% after a draw, 17.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 23.0%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Slovan Bratislava v Dukla Banská Bystrica has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 75% / 16% / 9% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 72% / 18% / 10%: the biggest move is Slovan Bratislava's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Slovan Bratislava win72%▼ −3
  2. Draw18%▲ +2
  3. Dukla Banská Bystrica win10%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.