8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result

Eden Arena, Prague
Referee: Daniel Vokoun
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Slavia Praha 4-1 Artis.

Before kick-off the model made it 82% Slavia Praha, 12% draw, 6% Artis — fair odds of 1.22, 8.33 and 16.67.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slavia Praha at 82%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Praha99%Draw1%Artis0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Mojmír Chytilassist: Mubarak Suleiman
3'
8'
Michal Jerabek
11'
Michal Jerabek
15'
🔁Issa Fombaout: Karel Pojezny
⚽David Jurasekassist: Mojmír Chytil
53'
57'
🔁Sebastian Boháčout: Adam Petrak
57'
🔁adebayo quadri adediranout: Vladimir Perisic
57'
🔁Alexis Aléguéout: Papalélé
🔁Ange N'Guessanout: Stepan Chaloupek
59'
🔁David Mosesout: Pavel Kacor
59'
⚽Stepan Chaloupekassist: David Jurasek
66'
🔁Mubarak Suleimanout: Oskar Kubiak
69'
🔁Emmanuel Ayaosiout: Lukáš Provod
69'
70'
Vladimir Perisic
Oskar Kubiak
72'
77'
🔁Dominik Sarapataout: Martin Pospisil
🔁David Jurasekout: Mikulas Konecny
77'
⚽Lukáš Provodassist: Danijel Sturm
78'
87'
⚽Papaléléassist: Richard Kašík

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Artis

71%Possession29%
27Shots4
11On target1
10Corners1
2.13xG0.6

Goals against chances

Slavia Praha4 from 2.13 xGmore than the chances were worth
Artis1 from 0.60 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slavia Praha 4-2-3-1
  • 35J. MarkovičG
  • 3T. HolešD
  • 4D. ZimaD
  • 6A. N'GuessanD
  • 39D. JurásekD
  • 16D. MosesM
  • 23M. SadílekM
  • 10D. ŠturmM
  • 20E. AyaosiM
  • 15M. E. SuleimanM
  • 13M. ChytilF
Substitutes
  • 2Š. ChaloupekD
  • 22T. DiakitéM
  • 29N. DomchakG
  • 14S. IsifeD
  • 32Pavel KacorM
  • 42M. KonečnýD
  • 30W. NowakM
  • 17L. ProvodM
  • 26I. SchranzF
Coach: J. Trpišovský
Artis 5-4-1
  • 29R. KasikG
  • 8S. KomljenovicD
  • 4D. PlechatýD
  • 5M. JeřábekD
  • 21A. CarlénD
  • 9A. LabíkD
  • 7A. AléguéM
  • 36S. BoháčM
  • 20D. SarapataM
  • 11I. FombaM
  • 6Q. AdediranF
Substitutes
  • 31J. BorekG
  • 2Š. HarazimD
  • 17PapaléléF
  • 87V. PerišićF
  • 14A. PetrákM
  • 34K. PojeznýD
  • 26M. PospíšilM
  • 27D. PreislerD
  • 32T. StoppenG
Coach: R. Nadvornik

Form going into Slavia Praha vs Artis

Slavia Praha

Czech Liga

  • W5-0away to FK Jablonec31 October 2026
  • D1-1Mlada Boleslav24 October 2026
  • D0-0Hradec Králové17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Zlin9 October 2026

Artis

Czech Liga

  • L1-2Bohemians 19054 November 2026
  • D2-2Zlin31 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slavia Praha141040368+2834
14Artis142481528-1310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Artis

  • 24 July 2022Slavia Praha 2–4 ArtisFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Artis

Slavia Praha

GoalsAssists

  • M. Chytil61
  • E. Ayaosi53
  • W. Nowak51

Artis

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slavia Praha beat Artis 4–1. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 82%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: Mojmír Chytil 3' for Slavia Praha, David Jurasek 53' for Slavia Praha, Stepan Chaloupek 66' for Slavia Praha, Lukáš Provod 78' for Slavia Praha, Papalélé 87' for Artis. Sent off: Michal Jerabek (Artis) 11'. On expected goals it finished 2.13–0.60.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slavia Praha a 94.7% chance to finish top of the regular season: 95.4% after a win, 91.5% after a draw, 88.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 95.4%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.

For Artis the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 75.9% going in: 58.9% after a win, 75.0% after a draw, 77.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.0%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Slavia Praha v Artis has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 79% / 14% / 7% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 82% / 12% / 6%: the biggest move is Slavia Praha's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Slavia Praha win82%▲ +3
  2. Draw12%▼ −2
  3. Artis win6%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.