Slavia Praha vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 4-1 Artis.
Before kick-off the model made it 82% Slavia Praha, 12% draw, 6% Artis — fair odds of 1.22, 8.33 and 16.67.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Praha at 82%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Artis
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35J. MarkovičG
- 3T. HolešD
- 4D. ZimaD
- 6A. N'GuessanD
- 39D. JurásekD
- 16D. MosesM
- 23M. SadílekM
- 10D. ŠturmM
- 20E. AyaosiM
- 15M. E. SuleimanM
- 13M. ChytilF
- 2Š. ChaloupekD
- 22T. DiakitéM
- 29N. DomchakG
- 14S. IsifeD
- 32Pavel KacorM
- 42M. KonečnýD
- 30W. NowakM
- 17L. ProvodM
- 26I. SchranzF
- 29R. KasikG
- 8S. KomljenovicD
- 4D. PlechatýD
- 5M. JeřábekD
- 21A. CarlénD
- 9A. LabíkD
- 7A. AléguéM
- 36S. BoháčM
- 20D. SarapataM
- 11I. FombaM
- 6Q. AdediranF
- 31J. BorekG
- 2Š. HarazimD
- 17PapaléléF
- 87V. PerišićF
- 14A. PetrákM
- 34K. PojeznýD
- 26M. PospíšilM
- 27D. PreislerD
- 32T. StoppenG
Form going into Slavia Praha vs Artis
Slavia Praha
Czech Liga
- W5-0away to FK Jablonec31 October 2026
- D1-1Mlada Boleslav24 October 2026
- D0-0Hradec Králové17 October 2026
- W1-0away to Zlin9 October 2026
Artis
Czech Liga
- L1-2Bohemians 19054 November 2026
- D2-2Zlin31 October 2026
- D0-0away to Teplice24 October 2026
- W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026
What these results say
- Slavia Praha went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Slavia Praha scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Slavia Praha kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Artis failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Artis scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Artis conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 34 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Artis
- 24 July 2022Slavia Praha 2–4 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Artis
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- M. Chytil61
- E. Ayaosi53
- W. Nowak51
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Praha beat Artis 4–1. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 82%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: Mojmír Chytil 3' for Slavia Praha, David Jurasek 53' for Slavia Praha, Stepan Chaloupek 66' for Slavia Praha, Lukáš Provod 78' for Slavia Praha, Papalélé 87' for Artis. Sent off: Michal Jerabek (Artis) 11'. On expected goals it finished 2.13–0.60.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slavia Praha a 94.7% chance to finish top of the regular season: 95.4% after a win, 91.5% after a draw, 88.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 95.4%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.
For Artis the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 75.9% going in: 58.9% after a win, 75.0% after a draw, 77.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.0%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Slavia Praha v Artis has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 79% / 14% / 7% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 82% / 12% / 6%: the biggest move is Slavia Praha's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Slavia Praha win82%▲ +3
- Draw12%▼ −2
- Artis win6%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.