Jeonbuk Motors vs Johor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 Johor Darul Takzim FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Jeonbuk Motors, 26% draw, 25% Johor Darul Takzim FC — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Jeonbuk Motors at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jeonbuk Motors vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 3Yeon Je-UnD
- 5Park Ji-SooD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 13Kang Sang-YoonM
- 95ItaloM
- 99Bruno MotaF
- 96A. CompagnoF
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 30DodozinhoM
- 16João GamboaM
- 27Hwang Seung-JunD
- 15Kim Ha-JunD
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 77Kim Tae-HyunD
- 1Lee Ju-HyunG
- 16Ahmad Syihan HazmiG
- 29Carlos AkapoD
- 81K. MedinaD
- 5Cristián GlauderD
- 24Óscar ArribasM
- 21D. PetrovičM
- 28Nacho MéndezM
- 33J. SilvaM
- 10Arif Aiman HanapiM
- 95Marcos GuilhermeM
- 7S. ZahediF
- 58Andoni ZubiaurreG
- 19StoichkovF
- 77Matías NahuelF
- 11JairoF
- 17Jon IrazábalD
- 30Natxo InsaM
- 25Joao FigueiredoF
- 4Afiq FazailM
- 20Dani BoltD
Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
Jeonbuk Motors
AFC Champions League Elite
- D2-2away to Beijing Guoan27 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vissel Kobe14 October 2026
- W2-1Kashiwa Reysol16 September 2026
Johor Darul Takzim FC
AFC Champions League Elite
- W3-0Port FC27 October 2026
- W2-0away to Pohang Steelers13 October 2026
- D1-1Buriram United15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jeonbuk Motors | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and Johor Darul Takzim FC
Jeonbuk Motors
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Johor Darul Takzim FC
GoalsAssists
- Marcos Guilherme21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Jeonbuk Motors beat Johor Darul Takzim FC 2–0. The model had made a win for Jeonbuk Motors its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Bruno Mota 22' for Jeonbuk Motors, Italo Vargas (penalty) 45+3' for Jeonbuk Motors. On expected goals it finished 2.10–1.82.
How the call on Jeonbuk Motors v Johor Darul Takzim FC has moved
First published on 20 Oct at 53% / 23% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Jeonbuk Motors's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Jeonbuk Motors win49%▼ −4
- Draw26%▲ +3
- Johor Darul Takzim FC win25%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.