8 August 2026, 16:15 UTC

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Standard Liege 2-2 Cercle Brugge.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Standard Liege, 22% draw, 56% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 4.55, 4.55 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Cercle Brugge at 56% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Standard Liege3%Draw91%Cercle Brugge6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Gustav Mortensen
15'
Adnane Abid
33'
38'
Valy Konaté
41'
⚽L. Mondeleassist: D. Vanzeir
⚽D. Eckertassist: A. Abid
45'
⚽D. Eckertassist: C. Nielsen
48'
66'
🔁D. Vanzeirout: L. Amani
66'
🔁V. Martensout: J. Ndala
🔁A. Trouilletout: R. Touzghar
71'
🔁D. Eckertout: B. Nsimba
71'
🔁B. Ngueneout: S. Drammeh
71'
78'
🔁K. Valyout: I. Diakite
78'
🔁S. Ngouraout: K. Kouassi
83'
🔁L. Mondeleout: Erick Nunes
88'
⚽C. Ravych
🔁M. Ilaimaharitraout: S. Jasper
90+1'

Match stats — Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

56%Possession44%
20Shots17
5On target2
7Corners11
2.61xG1.45

Goals against chances

Standard Liege2 from 2.61 xGless than the chances were worth
Cercle Brugge2 from 1.45 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. EpoloG
  • 13M. FosseyD
  • 20I. KaramokoD
  • 25I. HautekietD
  • 3G. MortensenD
  • 23M. IlaimaharitraM
  • 22A. TrouilletM
  • 17B. NgueneM
  • 94C. NielsenM
  • 11A. AbidM
  • 10D. EckertF
Substitutes
  • 21L. PirardG
  • 27M. El HankouriM
  • 29D. DierckxD
  • 84R. TouzgharM
  • 7T. MohrM
  • 18H. LawrenceD
  • 19S. JasperM
  • 77B. NsimbaF
  • 15S. DrammehM
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
Cercle Brugge 3-4-1-2
  • 1G. CouckeG
  • 5E. KakouD
  • 66C. RavychD
  • 24G. KondoD
  • 15G. MagneeM
  • 42L. MondeleM
  • 19I. DiabyM
  • 12K. ValyM
  • 71V. MartensF
  • 13D. VanzeirF
  • 9S. NgouraF
Substitutes
  • 84B. LangenbickG
  • 10L. AmaniM
  • 17J. NdalaF
  • 23H. JuradoF
  • 2I. DiakiteD
  • 8Erick NunesM
  • 75S. GheerardynsD
  • 41K. KouassiF
  • 33R. CaicedoD
Coach: Lars Friis

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Standard Liege63211210+211
15Cercle Brugge6033611-53

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

  • 8 August 2026Standard Liege 2–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 6 December 2025Cercle Brugge 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 23 August 2025Standard Liege 0–3 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 1 February 2025Cercle Brugge 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 23 November 2024Standard Liege 1–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 26 January 2024Cercle Brugge 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge

Standard Liege

  • D. Eckert Ayensa4 goals
  • A. Abid3 goals2 assists

Cercle Brugge

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.